SnowenOutThere
-
Posts
4,020 -
Joined
-
Last visited
Content Type
Profiles
Blogs
Forums
American Weather
Media Demo
Store
Gallery
Everything posted by SnowenOutThere
-
H5 (I think) looks slightly better and has the energy behind the storm dig far less which probably also helped a bit
-
GFS has the period of light snow for Sunday morning but also has a but more coastal moisture leading to a widespread 3+ inch event with a 6 inch strip
-
Euro is worse for the Valentines day threat compared to its 0z run, not what we needed but oh well.
-
What's up with the snow on the 12z GFS across the region starting at hour 114?
-
I believe that this is simply a miller A that bombs out too late for us. The current GFS and Icon have a low pressure off the coast south of NC. This is due to a SS and NS component that phases too late. This picture of the 6z GFS shows how it is a miller A due to the low off the coast and no miller B element.
-
Very frosty out today
-
You are fine, when has the Ukie not laid a dukie for a forecast post 100 hours
-
Far sharper trough but never goes negative, remains positive tilt the whole time, plenty of time for changes.
-
HRRR trending better precip wise for what its worth
-
Definitely, the way the radar is lined up we seem to at the very least have some sort of precipitation moving in when most models predicted nothing, if only it could arrive 8 hours earlier or later or it just be a bit colder out.
-
Hmmmm, if only it was colder. Either way we can just use the good ole weenie rule that the precip will cool the column enough to snow.
-
Any ideas on when those next threats might be? Besides Valentines day
-
Looks like the bottom energy goes neutral tilt while the second piece of energy dives in behind it at a positive tilt and then phases with the first thing turning the whole system positive tilt. I think that’s what happens at least if anyone smarter than me wants to correct me please do.
-
I like what the gfs is selling
-
#TheBigOnesAreSniffedOutEarly
-
I would take this storm
-
-
Euro with a monster low on Valentines day, is a rain storm for us unfortunately. Edit: get a deform band once the low jumps to off the coast.
-
Euro has almost no Southern Stream energy enter the country for the whole run, could someone who is smarter than me explain why that is?
-
GFS kicks the Monday Tuesday thing offshore with another piece of energy that also misses to the east.
-
Pictures, would like to look at them and try to see why it looks better than 12z
-
12z GFS trying to reel some people back in for the Tuesday mess of a system. At least it is something to track.
-
Should of clarified that it folded for me, it is an IMBY sport but should of considered the fact it still shows some ice up north. Sorry about that.
-
GFS folds
-
Though the NAM gets the cold in a bit faster the main thing it does to increase ice is keep the precip around longer.
