Spanks45
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Everything posted by Spanks45
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I'm at home with 3 kids....it becomes half empty really quick
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I have been waiting for the cold and dry pattern all winter and there it is....
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And just like that the GEFS flip normal to below normal from days 11-16....Go figure
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I mean, we have scored snow in patterns that we should have not gotten snow in...Those ratter years of past seemed to have a lack of precip or were just so warm with absolultely no cold nearby that we knew that nothing was coming. I just can't see how we don't get "lucky" with some transient block or well timed shortwave. I guess I am looking at things from the glass half full perspective today...
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and to add insult to the injuries sustained already, that snap occurs in April, not March....At least we can snow and snow a lot in March
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The end of the GEFS the past 2 runs have been a full on PAC puke pattern, at this point hopefully it's right, I would assume that would put an end to winter if that was the case?
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Looks like SNE is going to end with the normal climo of the Mid Atlantic....
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All rain here, never made it below freezing...We went from seeing inches of rain forecasted to maybe 0.75", it would have at least been "exciting" to see a few inches of rain. geez
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Sorry for my melt like posts, but I really am ready for this to be over now...51 yesterday felt great, the birds were singing. It had a spring vibe and I think I am ready, ⛱
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Not this year...unless our luck changes, looks like weeks of this
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Gefs have looked a bit better the past couple of runs past day 10, especially out toward days 13-16...I know it's the GEFS, but they are eroding the -pna in the long range...salvage a couple of weeks?
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lol at the RGEM.....4-8 inches of snow north of 84 in CT
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That high nosing in Saturday will shunt everything SE, you can almost guarantee it. I would assume that depending on what the Friday situation does will determine where that shortwave goes....The recent runs with Friday being colder and further SE have also led to the Sunday storm being SE
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and just like that the Sunday "storm" vanished....Might be time to pack it up for us south of Hartford, maybe closer to 84, just doesn't look like much for us down here. I'm sure some scraps here and there, but nothing to get very excited about from this point on.
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Watch Friday keep trending south, to the point it ends out to sea....
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yeah, didn't even look at 0z...it seems the 6z Euro continues to tick SE, so who knows
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and while we are asking for favors, keep it going to the shoreline please.... On a more realistic note, depending on the direction of the cold air drain we could keep it colder down here than modeled....guess we will see as we get well within the meso time periods. The 6z 3k nam was quite icy down this way for most of Thursday
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sleet to 33 and rain for us and probably most of us in CT if most of the 12z suite verifies
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994 mb low running into Indiana from the South is not going to help keep the cold air locked in, especially down here
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getting warm here, sun and clouds 47.0 atm....
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Nam gives us little if any frozen down here, after it was the coldest solution last night....I assume there is nothing to keep this from blasting into Maine at this point.
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One thing is certain, we are not getting close to our average this year...I still think we luck out with 1 or 2 wintry systems down this way, it's not like there isn't any cold air around or a lack of precip. Today will be 50-55 with some sun which will feel great....
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The only thing "consistent" on the models has been that day 7 storm, especially on the Euro. Hopefully that works out. It might be a 1 storm winter for SNE at this rate if that works out, outside of early December which didn't do much down this way either.
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Every single one of these models, every single run shows something slightly different, which tells me there hasn't been any trends besides chaos. Hopefully the 18z Euro and 0z Nam were onto something.
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Just some tulips and slugs on February 2nd....totally normal
