Spanks45

12k gives me 0.2", 3k 12.5"....meet in the middle and I would still be happy

Looks Namish...Elevations seem like they have a pretty good shot at accumulations if this track were to verify

its going to be a long winter if the Euro keeps spitting out solutions like this, less than 84 hours out. This is to be expected from the NAM not the "King"

We hope....Wish we could rely on the old EE rule, but it almost seems like the polar opposite nowadays.

same...nice to see at least, it can still snow around here, lol

yes please...I am like 4-5 miles NW of him, sitting in the valley here though might not bode so well for me

Might need to build an ark down here....just had a few flashes of lightning with some loud thunder

agreed...I think winter forecasting is pretty much voodoo at this point (could be due to the changing background climate making analogs almost useless, probably why Bastardi is wrong 99.9% of the time these days). I see countless forecasts every year that end up wrong or revised over and over again to make them look "better" and when they do end up getting them close to being right, it is usually for the wrong reasons. We get snow in October and April/May (Tip did call the October snow well in advance, kudos). Nino's and Nina's don't even act like the normal events of the past...I love the tracking aspect of weather, regardless of rain or snow...

I moved to CT in December of 2014, my previous "record" year was 72" during the 95/96 season living in Millersville, PA.

Best snowfall season I have ever experienced in my lifetime of 37 years(I measured 73 inches where I lived in Newtown)...hoping to someday top that year without having to move north.... Any ideas on the record snowfall for a season is for the Southbury/Newtown region is?

No kidding, in December on top of it....yet a polar bear belches and it snows to the coast, in October...

Its a great grill...I had the previous model for 11 years, 6 of those were spent in the salty air of Delaware which led to premature rusting.

Up to 62⁰, now the sun is out...feels great! Turkey is grilling away.

The ridge is well north of Alaska past 14 days...that should deliver some arctic air and shut off the Pac for a while

60⁰ with no rain here....Happy Thanksgiving! Grilling the turkey later, so this weather will be perfect if it continues...

Looking forward to having something to track, hopefully once we get past 12/5. I remember in the early part of the decade how that date always seemed to bring some sort of snow to the Mid Atlantic region.

That almost looks like a +PNA, -AO, -NAO situation there.....

This winter is definitely going to be a year for little to no snow retention for SNE. Probably go from snow and 15 degrees to 50 and rain 2 days later...

Keep pumping that PNA ridge and I will feel a bit better....Alaska needed some cold and snow to start so our air once the ridge builds would be colder. Can't cook that region early on or we won't have any cold air to work with later into winter right? Mid December to February 1st winter is fine with me....

18z GEFS looked pretty good at the end of the run...

Good point, definitely a different look from last year though. I seem to remember the -PNA with a huge trough sitting well into So Cal....

That weekend starts to show the PNA ridge building into the beginning of December, might be the "thread the needle" period for the region...IF of course the PNA is for real. There also seems to be alot of systems slamming into the west coast. What is this El Nino? odd.....

We have 1 thing going in the right direction it seems... PNA is rising as we head into December, maybe that will build into a -EPO as we go deeper into the month.

Looks like 16.2⁰ was the low....a solid 1.5 days of winter, back to fall for the foreseeable future

I know...all in jest, it can't get worse than last year, right? I will enjoy any snow we get, especially after the past 8 months. Already down to 22.3⁰ here in death valley after a high of 33. Saw a few flakes here this morning, even saw a nice coating in Newtown while was there. Nice to see at least....