Spanks45

I used my snow shovel yesterday to clean up the debris from 4+ inches of rain. I have actually used snow shovels more the past 2 years for things not related to snow....Hopefully we make up for this sooner rather than later, but at this point who knows....Seen too many seasons of warm/wet, cold/dry patterns

Anecdotally, from my perspective....Where have all the smaller snow events gone? Besides 2014/15, I feel like the 1-3/2-4/3-6 storms have all but disappeared. The so called bread and butter events. Growing up in the Mid Atlantic region, they have all but disappeared down there as well... Would be interesting to see the rates of marginal events per year, I would assume they have decreased in frequency, but.... Snow days have been replaced with wind/flood days..

I think what gets people rattled with a certain group of people when it comes to trolling here is that they start posting when the pattern looks warm and snowless. But as soon as it does snow and the pattern is actually decent for winter weather, they disappear with absolutely nothing to add. But then as soon as the snow starts melting and the warmth is inevitable, they pop up from the snow banks and start poking the hornets nest again. To each their own, doesn't bother me, I just keep scrolling along... As far as those forecasting based on persistence rather than pattern recognition. It really is amazing how since last year, especially down here in SNE you could forecast based on the least snowy model forecast and almost always be correct, regardless of the pattern or the month. And here we go again so far this year, same thing.....hopefully we can finally break this dreadful, snowless funk we are in come January. But even myself who tends to be more optimistic, is in the believe it when I see it state of mind...

Davis says 29 mph, second highest gust this year, (February 3rd had a 33.1 mph gust) so pretty impressive winds for here at least....was just out with the kids wondering around the yard (kids love this stuff too), I would say gusting around 40 to 45 mph right now, the stuff that woke me up at 4:30 was probably pushing 50?

6z GEFS, look pretty good as well....fi gers crossed as it looks like the "change" is starting to occur inside of day 10 now. Time will tell, for now it feels like mid October with a tropical storm near by....

I would honestly be ok with this, if we didn't have to deal with another 6-10 weeks of cold and dreary weather. More days like yesterday and today please....

Rgem would be something of interest WOR, what's 6-10 inches of rain before Christmas like? Sheesh, glad that model is usually wrong....

CMC and GFS warming up for Christmas.....definitely a lot of flip flopping for that time period

Yeah it seems like everything wants to slow up, at least after what barrels through on Monday...fingers crossed we finally get a good look here in SNE soon, feels like we haven't had one for almost 2 years now

Can we just punt everything in exchange for the storm at the end of the GFS run? Too much to ask?

12z Icon snows in DC, rains to Maine on the second wave... Bright side, can the Icon that far out, actually be correct?

4 kids, no thank you....I will take a few feet of snow though I think/hope the GFS is trying to tell us something, maybe our bad luck will finally run out next week

I lived in Delaware, I had 33" at my place.....Most of our neighborhood snowpiles were even gone by Christmas morning.

Great, more firewood for next year..... Cold morning, at least the sun is out...22 for the low with heavy, heavy frost accumulations

Watching those blues show up from North of Alaska the whole way down through California in the long range is definitely bringing back rough memories from last year around this time.... I sort of miss watching Weather world on PBS, hoping to see their snow icon in their "long range" forecasts. It has been so long I can barely remember what it looked like. There was no Euro weeklies/monthly forecasts, just possibilities/chances back then. No punting full months in advance.....

Nice spot to be 150+ hrs out....at least there is something out there

Last year was king for that, cold/dry warm/wet dominated....The whole second half of that GFS run reminded me of a late March/April pattern. Who knows, I just assume at this point if something is marginal, money is on rain, even in the core of winter

Waiting for us to get Nam'd on one of these runs coming up... current run was close with the low developing further south and east...

It is interesting to see the mesos with a lot of speckled precip around over the next 36-48 hours....maybe see off and on non accumulating flakes? NBD obviously, I feel like this type of weather would bring sprinkles/off and on showers

Expectations are set pretty low at this point, but it would be nice to get on the board going into the end of the month.....anything after last year will feel like a blizzard

Just a quick glance at the ENS, awful amount of blues around AK and the west coast...Maybe SNE gets lucky over the next couple of weeks, but moving forward oof. I will end up burning less wood in December than I did in November...

After the last few days, a beautiful 50 degrees out there....

Here in SNE, we actually have some cold air to play with too...just goes to show how perfectly we need to time something this time of the year to get anything more than a cold rain, at least down here

16.9⁰ this morning...didn't expect it that low I feel like this month had a bit of "wasted" cold. Hopefully something pops up early next month after the warmup

6 GEFS look pretty good after day 10.....at least the blocking up near Greenland is inside of day 10 now