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Intensewind002

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Everything posted by Intensewind002

  1. The only recent US hurricane bust I can think of that was that bad was probably Florence, nhc was predicting at Cat 4 landfall at some point if i remember correctly
  2. Pretty bad intensity forecast wise from most models across the board with Pamela this past week. I remember everyone thinking this could be a Cat 4 landfall not too long ago, now it’ll probably be a Cat 2 at highest possible intensity, and even that is a long shot, although I’m sure a lot of people on the west coast of mexico are happy they didn’t get a patricia redux
  3. I hope one day we can get computer programs that can initialize past storms and the atmospheric conditions around them and show us how they exactly looked structurally proceding and at landfall or as close to reality as possible. I always wanted to see how storms like the 1938 and 1944 hurricanes, hurricane carol, 1935 hurricane, hurricane Hazel etc. would have looked with our current technology.
  4. Extratropical Sam might be almost as impressive as tropical Sam
  5. What is the threshold for farthest north 130 kt+ hurricane in the open atlantic? Sam has to be approaching it at this point
  6. In Lindenhurst, It seems I’ll finish the month with exactly 5.6” of rain. Low was 53 last night, the coldest of the month so far. We hit 39 for the low here in Albany by comparison
  7. Is it me or is same looking a little annularish suddenly
  8. Just a gut feeling, but I think we’ll get another 2 or maybe even 3 majors from Caribbean season this year
  9. That seems to be fairly cyclic as well, a cluster of high end cat 4 or higher US landfalls happened in the 1920s into the 30s (plus a 150 mph cat 4 in 1919) and again in the 1960s, (Donna, Carla, and Camille)
  10. I love watching red taggers duke it out
  11. As is tradition recon arrives right after Sam’s peak
  12. I wonder if Jose from 2017 may be a decent track analog
  13. Were you there for Gloria? My dad is from North Babylon and suffolk got hit really hard wind damage (wind was worse than Sandy according to him). Not sure but I think the Nassau Suffolk border was also the border between who got hurricane force winds and who didn’t on LI. I’m only 21 so Sandy is the worst storm I’ve ever witnessed
  14. Wow NHC already forecasting for a major this early, this might be the strongest 5 day for an initial forecast I’ve ever seen for the Atlantic. If i remember correctly I think the highest beforehand was 95 kts with Ida, Larry, and a group of other hurricanes though I can’t quite remember which ones
  15. Looks like it’ll get sheared apart again
  16. All the storms managed to go around albany today I think I brought some the long island anti-storm barrier with me up here
  17. I’ve been lurking here since 2017 and I remember him doing this even then, 3 years before I even made an account… He’s obviously a weather enthusiast because you wouldn’t be on this site otherwise, but it became pretty obvious he is a troll after a while and to be honest, I really don’t get why someone would troll a bunch of like minded people. Especially in smaller community like this one
  18. Looks like the gulf invest may become Nicholas before the east atlantic one at this rate
  19. For me the last 100 was in 2011, we hit 102 with a dewpoint of almost 80. Probably the hottest day I’ve ever experienced… I think we were forecasted to hit 100 in 2013 but “only” peaked at 97 during the hottest day of that summer
  20. How often do we have simultaneous major hurricanes in the ATL and EPAC, couldn't find any examples with a google search
  21. Wow I thought I was joking last week when I said NJ has become the new tornado alley
  22. Had 14 90+ days this year, as well as 5 89 days. Hottest was a tie of 92 between 6 days. Compared to the last 5 years: 2020: 20 Peak: 97 2019: 5 Peak: 96 2018: 10 Peak: 95 2017: 7 Peak: 93 2016: 14 Peak: 97 So 2021 comes in tied at second but has the lowest peak. The sea breeze and humidity hurt this summer
  23. Looks like some erosion of the SW eyewall, maybe some dry air got in?
  24. They should have treated an extreme flood event like this similarly to how they treat a blizzard (besides the Dec 2010 one). Close all roads except for emergency personnel
  25. IDK how good of an idea it would be but maybe they should have like mandatory weather safety classes in high school, where you would also learn all the specifics of watches warnings and where to find these products, as well as some basics in atmospheric science… because a lot of these local politicians could use something like that…
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