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Intensewind002

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Everything posted by Intensewind002

  1. Intensewind002
    I'd be surprised if there are wide spread power outages in suffolk, at least on the south shore. There has to be wind gusts to at least around 75-80 mph (ala Sandy, Isaias, march 2010 noreaster) to really get anything beyond moderate where I live, and maybe more around 60-65 if the ground is saturated enough like with Irene, which only the forks are probably gonna see.
  2. Intensewind002
    I haven't really been tracking this event so forgive me if someone has said/asked this already, but is this going to be similar to a closer to the coast version of the 1991 Perfect Storm? The retrograde and the fact that it may transition to a subtropical or tropical system makes me think maybe.
  3. Intensewind002
    Yeah here in Albany it wasn’t as much of an event as I was expecting
  4. Intensewind002
    Yeah I stand corrected, it really isn’t all that comparable. Looking at the Florence archive, it was only forecasted to be a Cat 4 at landfall before the stall was a factor. After it started showing up on model runs, it was lowered to Cat 3 and eventually 2, (i honestly think it might have been a 85 kt hurricane at landfall). Plus the intensity had no effect on the severe flooding that you guys experienced
  5. Intensewind002
    The only recent US hurricane bust I can think of that was that bad was probably Florence, nhc was predicting at Cat 4 landfall at some point if i remember correctly
  6. Intensewind002
    Pretty bad intensity forecast wise from most models across the board with Pamela this past week. I remember everyone thinking this could be a Cat 4 landfall not too long ago, now it’ll probably be a Cat 2 at highest possible intensity, and even that is a long shot, although I’m sure a lot of people on the west coast of mexico are happy they didn’t get a patricia redux
  7. Intensewind002
    I hope one day we can get computer programs that can initialize past storms and the atmospheric conditions around them and show us how they exactly looked structurally proceding and at landfall or as close to reality as possible. I always wanted to see how storms like the 1938 and 1944 hurricanes, hurricane carol, 1935 hurricane, hurricane Hazel etc. would have looked with our current technology.
  8. Intensewind002
    Extratropical Sam might be almost as impressive as tropical Sam
  9. Intensewind002
    What is the threshold for farthest north 130 kt+ hurricane in the open atlantic? Sam has to be approaching it at this point
  10. Intensewind002
    In Lindenhurst, It seems I’ll finish the month with exactly 5.6” of rain. Low was 53 last night, the coldest of the month so far. We hit 39 for the low here in Albany by comparison
  11. Intensewind002
    Is it me or is same looking a little annularish suddenly
  12. Intensewind002
    Just a gut feeling, but I think we’ll get another 2 or maybe even 3 majors from Caribbean season this year
  13. Intensewind002
    That seems to be fairly cyclic as well, a cluster of high end cat 4 or higher US landfalls happened in the 1920s into the 30s (plus a 150 mph cat 4 in 1919) and again in the 1960s, (Donna, Carla, and Camille)
  14. Intensewind002
    I love watching red taggers duke it out
  15. Intensewind002
    As is tradition recon arrives right after Sam’s peak
  16. Intensewind002
    I wonder if Jose from 2017 may be a decent track analog
  17. Intensewind002
    Were you there for Gloria? My dad is from North Babylon and suffolk got hit really hard wind damage (wind was worse than Sandy according to him). Not sure but I think the Nassau Suffolk border was also the border between who got hurricane force winds and who didn’t on LI. I’m only 21 so Sandy is the worst storm I’ve ever witnessed
  18. Intensewind002
    Wow NHC already forecasting for a major this early, this might be the strongest 5 day for an initial forecast I’ve ever seen for the Atlantic. If i remember correctly I think the highest beforehand was 95 kts with Ida, Larry, and a group of other hurricanes though I can’t quite remember which ones
  19. Intensewind002
    Looks like it’ll get sheared apart again
  20. Intensewind002
    All the storms managed to go around albany today I think I brought some the long island anti-storm barrier with me up here
  21. Intensewind002
    I’ve been lurking here since 2017 and I remember him doing this even then, 3 years before I even made an account… He’s obviously a weather enthusiast because you wouldn’t be on this site otherwise, but it became pretty obvious he is a troll after a while and to be honest, I really don’t get why someone would troll a bunch of like minded people. Especially in smaller community like this one
  22. Intensewind002
    Looks like the gulf invest may become Nicholas before the east atlantic one at this rate
  23. Intensewind002
    For me the last 100 was in 2011, we hit 102 with a dewpoint of almost 80. Probably the hottest day I’ve ever experienced… I think we were forecasted to hit 100 in 2013 but “only” peaked at 97 during the hottest day of that summer
  24. Intensewind002
    How often do we have simultaneous major hurricanes in the ATL and EPAC, couldn't find any examples with a google search
  25. Intensewind002
    Wow I thought I was joking last week when I said NJ has become the new tornado alley
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