MN Transplant
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Everything posted by MN Transplant
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Kudos to the mesoscale models which had enhancements to the line just south of 66.
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Euro is not that far off from a similar solution.
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0.15 yesterday and looks excellent today. 06Z NAM Nest looks good for rain on Tuesday.
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We might salvage a decent Saturday Evening and a very nice Mother's Day.
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Our pool installed a new heater and they sent out a message saying that it was 81 degrees and they are opening this weekend. Of course, the Saturday weather looks poor.
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Yeah, we squeaked in a very nice early morning before the clouds/rain get here. 0.10” overnight
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NAM is definitely more aggressive with precip, but they all tell the same story that tomorrow is gloomy and chilly.
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Yeah, the humidity is quite apparent as we reach the mid-60s DPs.
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Tomorrow looks spectacular
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Good soaker. 3.20" for the period.
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Blazing start to the year.
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Quick .5”. Enjoying the thunder.
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2.26”. That was perfect.
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Raining harder now than at any point since the 1pm hour
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1.82”. Starting to see some of that enhancement as the little vort gets closer.
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The models did a great job with that.
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The trench was definitely on the order of 4' deep. The guys who were down in there were up to their chests. Our gas lines must have been deeper because they only had to dig around the existing water supply line to the house and not the gas line.
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1.08”. Good stuff.
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Yeah, the big totals are coming from some training that goes on in the afternoon on the HRRR.
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00z HRRR is a beaut.
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Right now they are only going to be running this during the Spring Experiment period (mostly May), but it is forward-looking towards what we will see in the future with modeling.
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I do know something about this. NCAR is running FV3-based ensembles at 3km over the US (13km global) out to 204 hours and MPAS ensembles at 3km over the US (15km global, tapered) out to 132 hours. Just from a couple of days of looking, it seems like the probability matched mean is generally higher than the straight ensemble mean. Here is where we are for the first event: FV3 MPAS
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Trace. On to Friday.
