GFS, Euro, HRDPS, and HRRR all support 100 around DC on Saturday, with the NAM being a significantly outlier. The ICON joins the other globals for Sunday.
The heat wave was always going to be focused north of us during the middle of the week, and then collapse down onto us for the weekend. 90/65 is hot, but not that bad. When we go to 97/98 this weekend it'll be more noticeable. But the sudden-onset dry conditions have certainly helped us out in terms of feels-like weather.
Tough June so far in northern VA. 0.23" here. Shows that it doesn't matter in the least what the precip was before summer. Once you get a couple of weeks of dry and sunny, everything without deep roots struggles.
The more impressive anomalies will be well north of us. Despite some of the awful Euro runs, this was always just a normal summer heat wave for us. Could grab a record high at IAD if things break right.
The HRRR and NAM had this as of this morning. I don’t know what the official forecast was but it shouldn’t have been 0 POP.
Third little cell incoming to my house.
100%. 2011 was absolutely terrible in early June with three records at DCA, but this time period has otherwise consistently been one of the nicest times of the year.