PaulyFromPlattsburgh

1.8 down in plattsburgh right across lake Champlain :). Impressive

1.8 inches moderate snow.

Yet still no WWA or plows in the area. Concerning. 1.7 inches down as of 20 minutes ago. The precipitation has been very steady and consistent! Seems like these SWFE always end up NW of modeling. The Adirondacks deff need some pack; and it’s not in a rush to leave with the artic blast incoming . Sucks that we are controlled by the Burlington NWS and don’t have our own station . We are the red headed step child

Weird I agree

I been in solid green returns for hours. Light to moderate snow snow

1.1 inches down in plattsburgh. Moderate snow. Expecting 3-4 total

that was not my intention in sharing those. but i do see what you are saying. much of what is on that map is indeed sleet at least in the southern regions! just want to note the juicer and north trend.

i know and it said that. includes sleet. just showing diff meso guidance since we nearing event

ARW2 his big brother. he disagrees.

NMM

ARW

WRF-NMM is a solid hit for northern areas .

im really excited for this one. the trend is my friend. stronger, juicer, and more amped system. more typical SWFE. looks like it may give me a solid 2-4/3-5 over a nice 12-16 hour period. HRRR,NMM, and NAM have the low solid 3mb stronger more northwest precip expansion with a slower moving longer lasting system! hope it works out. i will be happy with even an inch considering i missed out on the last two storms! nothing beats watching snow fly in the air. at least i am not worrying about sleet and mixing like some folks. for me its a worry of how much i am going to get. how much moisture and lifiting will be available.

HRRR

I will take my 2-4 inches on the NAM and run. Synoptic plus arctic front totals.

lol bad case of suppression with a nasty pacific pattern. Looks like a tropical low coming ashore Florida in the summer lol

Spring summer type pattern not winter.Almost looks like a hurricane coming onshore Florida. Lol

Evolution at 500mb is night and day from 18z

the gfs composite 0z is colder while the regular is warmer. weird

thank you I appreciate that.

NMM model looks like the NAM. ARW,RGEM south like EURO and ICON

Weird how the best lifting 700mb is so far north. Should I be looking at the 850mb? Which is further south

I have a question. Why are they sometimes completely different in terms of precip strength and qpf output. Is the 3k always superior to the 12k? I always wondered that.