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PaulyFromPlattsburgh

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Everything posted by PaulyFromPlattsburgh

  1. PaulyFromPlattsburgh
    You answered it. Thank you. I was talking about AAO. Didn’t realize that was only for Southern Hemisphere. Thank you for clearing that up. I do know the AO is indeed trending in our direction, after being very positive
  2. PaulyFromPlattsburgh
    The AAO also stays negative but I am not sure the effect that has on the pattern. It is starting to move to neutral /positive tho mid to late January . The AAO has been negative since early October. I wonder what a neutral to positive AAO would do to east coast storm systems leading into the future
  3. PaulyFromPlattsburgh
    yes negative heights indicate a trough and positive heights indicate a ridge. look at 500mb
  4. PaulyFromPlattsburgh
    when did it predict a cold january. its last run was average if not slightly above average heights and temps!? for weeks 1-2 same timefram
  5. PaulyFromPlattsburgh
    New CFS weeklies are very warm weeks 1-2 . then get colder starting week 3 and indicating a pattern shift at that time. West coast ridge hint at weeks 4 and 5. wish i could post the pics but +10-15 2m temps weeks 1 and 2. Crazy at this time of the year with +10-15 500mb heights. Almost spring like pattern. insane. Then we should cash in late feb. But next 2 weeks look anamolously warm and wet. rain , mix, and junk
  6. PaulyFromPlattsburgh
    U got maybe 3. Not enough QPF for 5 inches
  7. PaulyFromPlattsburgh
    That’s ludicrous . Are u guys measuring with ur mind?
  8. PaulyFromPlattsburgh
    That’s a major ice storm for the Champlain valley verbatim.
  9. PaulyFromPlattsburgh
    NAMogenesis! Not buying it for one sec. NAM, you are still hungover from New Years! Smh
  10. PaulyFromPlattsburgh
    is the flow buckled from the cutoff in the easter pac at hr84? thank u
  11. PaulyFromPlattsburgh
    Finally transitioned to a snow rain mix. Currently 31 food glaze of ZR everywhere
  12. PaulyFromPlattsburgh
    Grapevine area. Hitting the slopes yes. they just got some good pack there. Possibly mountain high resort heard good things about that spot!
  13. PaulyFromPlattsburgh
    Can’t be as bad as the cowgirls feel.
  14. PaulyFromPlattsburgh
    Yes, I am not upset. Models clearly overestimated the weak cold that was in place. Overestimates cold at both surface and upper levels . Models suck. Underestimated the warmth push. Useless. Anyways I’m off to California next week. Happy new year. Hope to catch some snow in the LA mountains
  15. PaulyFromPlattsburgh
    Cold rain 33 disgusting . Feels so cold out . Everything is slushy out
  16. PaulyFromPlattsburgh
    I hope you are right Dave. Important months ahead
  17. PaulyFromPlattsburgh
    Lol not good. 33 and rain. I overhyped myself and kept lying to myself that this looked better than it did. Mountains are doing a little better but me being right on the lake is keeping us a cold rain. On to the next. have a great day.
  18. PaulyFromPlattsburgh
    I’m now sleeting
  19. PaulyFromPlattsburgh
    Moderate snow 31 degrees sticking on all surfaces
  20. PaulyFromPlattsburgh
    31 degrees light snow
  21. PaulyFromPlattsburgh
    Light snow 31 degrees
  22. PaulyFromPlattsburgh
    RAP looks similar
  23. PaulyFromPlattsburgh
    HRRR keeps my area all snow. expecting a nice front end dump 4-6 inches tonight into tommorow
  24. PaulyFromPlattsburgh
    expecting a nice 4-6 inches on the front end dump followed by sleet. excited will post obs throughout the night. HRRR showing those thermal profiles nicely, keeping us cool enough for wet snow
  25. PaulyFromPlattsburgh
    wow concerning for sure. looks like more ip for me and zr for areas further south and west. GGEM shows almost w inches of freezing rain accumalation in some spots.
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