You can see much better ridge placement on the 12z vs previous runs. The western shortwave is slightly weaker and rotates further southwest instead of getting sucked into the flow allowing more pieces from the north to funnel down. Looks like a very interesting run ahead. I can’t post images for some reason. At HR168 you can see the PJ halted for a sec there stopping those building heights. At HR 180 you can see that SW about 150 miles west mitigating the flow. significant LE event for many.
18z looks much better. That SW retrograding into the pacific vs previous runs thus allowing a beautiful ridge to build in to create some space for digging. This run was close to a bomb for many.
18z wants to retrograde that SW back into the pacific thus allowing anice ridge to build in. Vs previous runs. 18z too 12z bottom. I see good trends coming
lol those are 85ps. what do you expect with a strong ridge in place at the time lol. quick torch in and out but surface will still hang on to below freezing, at night at least.
GFS really making nice trends long range by building that ridge out west vs 18z. liking this look! HR 300 top and 27o bottom. as you can see big trends. hmmm
Oh man did they bust. Most areas got around 6 around here. They seem to be acknowledging the mistake on Facebook. The models weren’t great but many accidents could have been avoided with at least a WWA!
Yes I am in plattsburgh getting smoked. I am in those yellow returns. No WWA in the area very surprised. We need a station in plattsburgh and not depend on VT