kgottwald
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Everything posted by kgottwald
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Late February will be rocking. February Long range Discussion thread
kgottwald replied to Ji's topic in Mid Atlantic
What is with every Friday afternoon being blustery and turning colder? Are we stuck in some kind of infinite loop? -
. . . and again with the damn clouds. Aren't we going to get a 100% sunny day anywhere in this mild pattern?
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Another "sunny" day derailed by unforecasted clouds. Bah humbug.
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That looks just like my elementary school, if you replaced the playground equipment and asphalt with trees and grass.
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The “is it ever going to snow again” discussion.
kgottwald replied to psuhoffman's topic in Mid Atlantic
Makes me wonder how common snow was at the site of DC in the decades surrounding 5000 BC. -
The “is it ever going to snow again” discussion.
kgottwald replied to psuhoffman's topic in Mid Atlantic
I'm wondering, if Florida had a mountain range with 10,000'+ peaks running down its spine, how would that affect the climate? Would there be a rain-shadow and if so on which side? How high would the snowline be at Miami's latitude? Would we have a domestic coffee industry? -
A LOT of clouds out there on what was supposed to be a sunny day - the models always miss that on the day after a substantial rainfall it will nearly always be cloudy in the afternoon.
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Every single damn Friday afternoon/evening, with the screaming NW winds . . . every one! What is it with this pattern?
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The folks at CapitalWeather speculate that we might be on track to beat January 1950 for pure blowtorchness.
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All anyone remembers about 82-83 is the general mildness interrupted by the 2/11 storm - everyone has forgotten the 6-12 inches on December 12 (after a truly tropical first few days of the month), the additional inch a week later and the 4 inches on 2/6.
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I have two notifications that people replied to my posts in the Mid-Long Range discussion thread in Mid-Atlantic. Neither reply is actually visible in the thread. Did the moderator remove them for some reason?
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National and Dulles couldn't even manage two consecutive sub-freezing high temperatures. Busted the forecast by 6 or 7 degrees IIRC. Kind of pathetic if that's all we're gonna get.
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IAD's all-time low of -18 on January 22, 1984 was a result of perfect radiation conditions: calm wind, snow cover, no clouds. DCA only dropped to 3. The afternoon highs reached the mid-twenties.
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Dewpoints really falling off a cliff
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Interesting that IAD obs never reported snow, just rain, drizzle and mist.
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First snow of the season in Tysons
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Front passing through Tysons Corner just now. Sudden burst of sleet.
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That was the year when all the TV mets promised a white Christmas. December 24 was 58 degrees, but it was supposed to start raining in the evening and then switch to snow, piling up 2 to 4 inches. But whatever primitive Neanderthal forecast models they were using back then were less accurate than flipping a coin. The cold air never arrived and we got zero snow. Bitter disappointment!!
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Gordon Barnes! That takes me back! He'd give his winter predictions in November, usually calling for a cold, snowy pattern, and he'd *always* say we were going to get a white Christmas. I don't know how he came up with that stuff, probably pulled out of his ass. After three or four years of disappointments, I got pretty annoyed at him for continually raising false hopes.
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This weather reminds me of the then-record-warm December of 1984, which had a considerable number of mild, foggy nights.
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Temps rising with the wind picking up - a minor Chinook effect?
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And I certainly hope that this is the latest in the year that the DC area will ever see 70-degree dewpoints.
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A patch of blue sky in Merrifield about 15 minutes ago.
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Despite the predicted upper 50s lows, temperatures have stubbornly refused to drop at all since sunset. Even Dulles has stayed in the low sixties overnight.
