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binbisso

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Everything posted by binbisso

  1. binbisso
    And it gets better the further out it goes let's just hope it verifies
  2. binbisso
    With regards to the big phased system next week which is still 6 or 7 days out. We need either a later phase further east or better yet miss the phase with the southern stream and see if the northern stream can dive under us and form a Coastal low south of Long Island. That's probably our best chance at seeing snow here in the Northeast with this system
  3. binbisso
    Yeah most Mets and others keep saying that this Nina is coupled with the atmosphere but obviously that is not the case as we typically would have a colder than normal November and December. Last year we had a Nino but November and most of December played out like a nina. clearly something's up between enso and the atmosphere. if this map plays out That's a classic nino positive PNA negative N A O Negative a o.
  4. binbisso
    A+ PNA is now showing up across guidance as we head towards December and it looks to continue through the first half of the month. The GEFS even show signs of Greenland blocking and it's very extended range. Maybe we can finally get some short waves to track underneath us and as we head into December we would not need well below normal temperatures to get some kind of measurable snow which seems to have been missing from December for a long time now
  5. binbisso
    I also lost an aunt to covid a month ago. My moms sister. My cousin got it from her boyfriend who probably got it at school ( teaches special need kids) and gave it to both her parents.
  6. binbisso
    I took my mom out in late march. She had a stroke and heart valve issue in February. She went to two nursing homes/ rehab after hospital stay. She is now living with me. The worst part was not being able to see her. Yea it really is sickening. Need to get the vaccine to these vulnerable people asap even with the unknown about potential side effects. In these cases its probably worth the risk.
  7. binbisso
    From a tropical forcing perspective, how might this La Niña differ from the norm? 2020-21 is predicted to have more activity over the Indian Ocean and less over the Maritime Continent. Ben noll. If this is true then one two and three would be more likely than four five and six this winter but we shall see
  8. binbisso
    Blue Wave I have heard that the atmosphere is currently coupled with the la nina but according to your post above it is not. Do you think this winter will not behave as a typical moderate to Strong La Nina?
  9. binbisso
  10. binbisso
    It looks like the mjo heading into phase 8 in early November could mute the warm-up or at least the warm-up won't last as long as guidance suggest. I'm hearing that the mjo may frequently be in Phase 8 1 and 2 this winter instead of the maritime continent don't know if it's going to be a big player this year with such a strong La Nina
  11. binbisso
    The mjo in Phase 5 for most of October didn't have the usual outcome here in the Northeast which is usually much below-normal temperatures. We will finish solidly about normal throughout the region
  12. binbisso
    Have sleet mixing in with the rain here in Mount Vernon with a temperature of 37 degrees
  13. binbisso
    That's pretty amazing how one month can be consistently warmer then normal for so long what's interesting when looking at the departures, this October should be very close to 2010 when looking at the current long-range guidance. 2010 also had an amplified mjo in Phase 5 as you stated in the other thread and it looks quite similar.
  14. binbisso
    After a warm wet week next week That's a pretty cold look on the ensembles today starting around day 9 going through the end of their runs. The mjo looks to get Amplified in Phase 4 and Phase 5 around that time and I believe it's a colder phase for the Northeast during October I could be wrong though. Any Merit to a colder second half of October?
  15. binbisso
    70° here after hitting a high of 71 and windy
  16. binbisso
    Thanks. Looks like we will be making a road trip there. My daughter wants to go now. I want to go when there's snow in the forecast.
  17. binbisso
    @dryslot. My youngest daughter is entering college next fall. She likes bowdoin college in Brunswick ME. What's your opinion and the general opinion of this school? Also of any other posters have any knowledge of the school I would greatly appreciate it thanks
  18. binbisso
    My doctor said it takes about 3 to 4 weeks for the body to produce antibodies that a test results can detect. It's probably very likely I caught this between February and April as that's when it was the worst here that would put me at 4 to 6 months with antibodies.
  19. binbisso
    Yeah that's what makes covid-19 scary we know that about 80% of the people who get it have no or mild symptoms however why do some healthy young and middle-aged people get very sick from it there has to be other factors that we don't know yet that are causing this
  20. binbisso
    Yes and good to know the antibody test are better now. I worked right thru as i am in the food industry. My job is in the south bronx one of the hardest hit areas. Just surprised that at my age and i smoke that i had no symptoms. My doc says right now i cant get reinfected but isnt sure how long antibodies will last
  21. binbisso
    Went for my yearly physical monday. Asked my doc to do an antibody test for covid. Surprisingly came back positive. My doc said that i definitely had covid. I am 58 and a smoker otherwise in good health. I had no symptoms. Is it possible that my doc is wrong and results were a false positive?
  22. binbisso
    What a great day. 79 dp 58!! I thought it was supposed to be hot and humid. Last night and early this morning dews were in the mid 70s. Very uncomfortable but What a pleasant surprise today.
  23. binbisso
    How accurate are the covid-19 antibody test I went for my physical yesterday and had one done it came back positive I saw it on my chart from my provider I have not spoken to my doctor yet it says that there could be false positives from other covid-19 infections in the past. Never had any symptoms
  24. binbisso
    Yeah not surprising LGA hit 94 as well as Newark but 99% of the region was between 88 and 92 which was well forecast buy all weather Outlets. Those two sites will always run warmer and are not a very good representation of their region.
  25. binbisso
    77* in the bronx. Very unlikely to get to mid to upper 90's here. I checked several forecast not one has a higher temperature than 90 degrees for any part of our area today. That would be Northern New Jersey New York City metro Long Island Southeast New York and Southwest Connecticut don't know where those mid and Upper 90 are coming from. Maybe Central Southern New Jersey and the Philly area
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