Rhino16
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Everything posted by Rhino16
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Some of the trees around here have new growth on the ends of the branches. Some trees have buds of some type. Not sure if that’s normal for around here on February 3rd, but okay.
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February 2024 temperature forecast contest
Rhino16 replied to Roger Smith's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
DCA _ NYC _ BOS __ ORD _ ATL _ IAH __ DEN _ PHX _ SEA -1.0 _ -1.5 _ -0.8 __ 0.5 _ -1.2 _ -0.1 __ 0.1 _ -0.2 _ 0.3 -
Some fat snowflakes are falling while I try to program this climate homework. Cars covered but may as well be wet rain as far as the ground is concerned.
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the bands of snow yesterday only managed to put down 0.2" despite the long duration, some impressive bands, and cold temps.
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Got to 7° at VT Apt, but probably colder where I am… terrible walk to class.
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Roads have now caved with the heavier rates. Didn’t take long.
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I went for an hours long walk in the snow, it was great. Roads still winning from what I can tell.
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Roads still wet only, we had a snow hole for a bit here, but it resumed.
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The snow is light and pavement has melted so it’s not snow covered anymore. Hoping we get similar bands to the stuff south of Roanoke…
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Snow started at some point and now it’s falling at decent rate. Asphalt lightly covered patchily.
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Really nice to wake up to at 12z. The closer we get, the more I trust the GFS.
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Woke up to surprise snow / graupel this morning in bburg. looks like it never happened now but it was nice to see.
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There’s only one storm?
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Indeed it is, the run after it is just that empty.
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Jan Medium/Long Range Disco 2: Total Obliteration is Coming
Rhino16 replied to Jebman's topic in Mid Atlantic
Right where we want it at hour 228 on the GFS. -
You all down here will have higher odds than me when I get back to blacksburg. I guess I’ll have bitter cold.
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I really don’t think a 5” difference in the mean is that dramatic of a difference, so I agree.
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The GFS is always super cold 6 days out and I can’t remember if it’s always that potent.
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The GFS does a decent job with rainfall totals. I’ve made some accurate 3 day forecasts with it as a heavy contributor. I’ve been burned quite a few times by the Euro.
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Is this realistic, or could it be overdoing it a bit?
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Oops, I had that thing sorted by Winter (Dec-Feb), so anything that happened after that probably got omitted! My bad.
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Didn’t happen in Richmond, but in Blacksburg probably September 10th. Thunderstorms dropped 4.4” of rain during a football game in a short time. I was not under the heaviest rain so probably got half that amount but the lightning was super active. Super lucky no one got struck, but it was way too close.
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The 14 years between the winters of 1947-1948 to 1961-1962 was the longest time without a 20+” snowfall winter. They were surprisingly common! This year will be the 14th year since the 2009-10 winter… Edit: this is incorrect as it only considers dec-feb, see RIC AIRPORT’s correct info below
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Looks better! Hopefully at least something happens.
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I’m so glad school is throwing the GIS stuff at me because it can sometimes be fun, but it’s also useful in case meteorology doesn’t work out. (But it will.)
