NorthHillsWx

There was a small snow the week before and then an ice event after if my memory serves me. I remember the ice with snow still on the ground

I have no idea what you’re looking at. Verbatim the Canadian is a major ice storm and regardless with CAD events you look for the setup before precip maps. If the setup is there models will hone in on the wedge as we get closer. The setup is there

Euro is historically not great at picking up CAD setups at range. It being the outlier is not surprising. I’m beginnning to focus on 1/6 as a legit wintry threat. The H5 setup is there and it is a very cold/dry air mass that moves in the days before. At a minimum this should result in a large area of nuisance ice

This is the worst I’ve ever seen. It gets worse every year

1/6 is a classic CAD look. If that system stays weaker west of apps, I don’t think that wedge will be scoured out and we wind up with a GFS/CMC solution. This is an ice storm look. Even the GFS is showing a strong wedge and it always underestimates their strength at range

18z was a better run. Not there yet but better

And temps have come WAY up

Winter in the southeast is a comedy

And the walls start closing in…

I’m going to bed and hope and pray I don’t see that run again in morning. Dumpster fire

Energy looks more consolidated coming south on the 0z than 18z for the 10th system

Yep. Ugly for the upstate. Goes poof east of there

Canadian says “incoming”

GFS looks like we’re about to be F’d by a Great Lakes low

Oozing with potential. Oozing

3-5” followed by days and days of cold. If folks don’t like that solution for these parts you need a new hobby. No big daddy (except Canadian) but this oozes with potential. One other thing I love about the models today is they show in a variety of ways. We aren’t relying on a miller A or miller B

For the doom and gloom of 6z (lol) 12z delivered. Unreal to see snow across the suites

EURO actually focuses on the Jan 6 wave. Interesting…

EURO is beautiful. All 3 major ops have snow for most of the forum.

Great 12z runs

There is no reason to be throwing in the towel at all. Means will jump around a lot especially with some of the HECS included as those affect the means disproportionately. However, for those who haven’t seen snow in 3 years it is totally fair to be pessimistic until it snows again. That being said, we don’t need to clog this board with “it’ll never snow again posts” or junk as there is actually great discussion going on from some of the veteran members. A few weeks ago when this place was dead, whatever, but there is an exciting pattern showing and some of the expert posters have been honking the horn for some time.

If Florida gets 6-8” and we get blanked I quit lol

06z GFS says Congrats @GaWx !!!

I would not include “central” NC in that statement

I’ll take that and run with it any day and twice on Sunday.