NorthHillsWx
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Everything posted by NorthHillsWx
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If I’m in the western Carolinas or Virginia I’m probably starting to sweat this one. If I’m in the Deep South or central/eastern Carolina’s I feel pretty good still. Suppressed I can deal with but a flat lifeless wave isn’t going to work for anyone. We’re at the stage now where trends matter. The trend is definitely a little more flat and suppressed. We’ll see if that stops. Having both the GFS and Euro on outside looking in is not good. EPS has been fairly rock solid though. Today will be interesting
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EPS has been fairly consistent too, unlike the op.
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Those in western NC don’t get burned every single storm by the NW trend. They just go from 2” of modeled snow to 4” of snow on the ground and call it a win while we rain. I’m not saying it’s gonna happen but if the storms where that model is right now I’m damn more Comfortable than one modeled along the coast at this range. IMBY whatever I haven’t seen an inch of snow in 3 years I’m living in the loony bin on this storm
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My thoughts.
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18z AI trended way south but at least it lost that ridiculous 850 warming and was all snow in the piedmont areas. Honestly not a bad look
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Yes
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I was worried about that the last few days but suppression to the point our energy in the SW is severed from the flow was not on my bingo board today. Suppressed is too broad here. There’s no storm. It holds the energy back until the cold press passes.
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Definitely shows the whole suite is in the suppression camp
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If the Op follows along all will be well in the world
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Round these parts, picking the model showing the least amount of snow is usually the correct call
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GFS losing the storm entirely doesn’t give me the warm and fuzzies
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GFS is really bad
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GFS insistent we at least get a storm thread for Sunday
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For the life of me I cannot figure out how the AI loses our HP and drives a hard southerly flow at 850 during the storm with that track. I don’t buy it
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The AI is insistent on a raging ice storm with mid 20’s at the surface and a perfect storm track. Color me skeptical
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Haven’t seen that in central NC since the color TV
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Hell I’ll take 15 of those
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Both way too cold and south
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That is absolutely amazing. That’s probably the best EPS run central NC has had 6-7 days out
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Yes it does
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And ICON is suppressed but close
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Except the Canadian and UK
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It is so hard to get snow here
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OH Canada
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Yep. Not gonna work
