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NorthHillsWx

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Everything posted by NorthHillsWx

  1. I’d feel good if I was in a border county. And really good the further east you go up there. For wake I’m going 0.5-3” south to north. Raleigh is likely 1-1.5” with a cold slop of a day
  2. I mean even for north of Raleigh. QPF amounts vary wildly and some models have none.
  3. This is my expectation. Think 4” is our high end and low end is 1/2” sleet
  4. It’s a pick em of models 36 hours out. You got some showing a 6-10” snow storm for central NC, some showing an ice storm, some showing a light mix, and some showing absolutely nothing. I’ve seen model discrepancy in short range but this is wild
  5. 10000%. When we lost the WAA snows earlier runs showed our margin for error decreased significantly
  6. No major changes at all. Slightly colder upstairs for the transition line folks, noise elsewhere. But it didn’t trend worse or go to Euro. After last nights modeling collapse it feels like a win
  7. Slight improvements on GFS. We needed that. Triangle will be happy. More snow west too
  8. They should’ve just used the @eyewall call map
  9. ICON was OK here but big drop in precip for everyone
  10. I know WRAL will be latching onto that NAM run like the Bible for their evening forecast
  11. I’d actually love a sleet bomb. 2” of sleet doesn’t happen often here and is pretty cool when temps are low
  12. It shouldn’t, but it will. I posted earlier we shouldn’t even have to be checking thermals with some solutions showing a sub 1000 mb low 50 miles east of hatteras, but here we are
  13. If you live in western Virginia or the triad, enjoy your stay on NAM island!
  14. At face value the NAM is a major winter storm for most of the state and most of Virginia. Big time impacts in all areas
  15. SE FORUM *asks for more moisture* NAM: “I hear you” *gives crippling amounts of QPF as freezing rain*
  16. NAM is a Virginia special and gets DC back in the game
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