NorthHillsWx

I am absolutely not disputing climo and most EC storms are in September, I am simply saying the current pattern is not conducive for EC landfalls unless something spins up from a stalled front. The trough is well entrenched and acts like a wall where it’s centered far enough east that anything coming from the MDR will be sent ots. Looking at the next two weeks this pattern largely remains intact. That brings us to the peak of the season and takes a good chunk of time out for something to hit. I’m not saying we won’t get a storm, but the current pattern strongly favors home brew and recurves. Given we’re in peak season, burning weeks here decreases the odds of a strikes by decreasing the amount of time available for one to happen, that is my only point. One would think the carribean and gulf would be in play especially with fronts rotting in the northern GOM but it’s been eerily quiet. We’ll see if our invest can change that. But for the next couple weeks I feel very confident the east coast will be safe from a MDR storm. I definitely would not rule out home brew too

High of 80.6 and very low humidity. What sort of sacrifice did y’all make to the weather gods? This is becoming a historic august

I’m just saying- it hasn’t hit 90 yet this August in Raleigh NC and we’re looking at 50s this week. We’re getting into record territory for coldest August in history. If anything, this burns clock during the peak of the season

With the anomalous trough and major fronts already impacting the east coast I would say the odds of an east coast impact from something other than home brew are likely decreasing. We’re in an October pattern in August

Made to to 86.4 today which was one of the warmest days this month! Also picked up 0.08” from a stray shower that ends the short rainless stretch and brings the monthly total to 9.14”

This August has been incredible. Though there was a high humidity stretch with all the rain, we still haven’t broken 90, RDU cracked it once (barely) and it now looks LIKELY we will make it through the month of August with zero 90-degree days. I honestly don’t know if that has ever happened in my lifetime. Sure RDU won’t report a zero 90 August but this has to be one of the coolest August’s in RDU history

We still have not hit 90 yet this month IMBY. 88.7 yesterday and 88.2 today. Absolutely incredible

Haven’t hit 90 IMBY in August yet this is pretty wild

This is the one that has my attention. Early indications are mixed about ridging over the Atlantic in time but it is starting at a lower latitude than Erin and very likely will impact the islands more directly than Erin

I’d say direct impacts are still unlikely but if EURO is correct it wouldn’t surprise me to see tropical storm advisories hoisted and given the expected size and wind field of the storm wave run up and over wash are almost a guaranteed issue at this point. I was there last week with the full moon and nor Easter and there wasn’t any beach at all

Erin is trending uncomfortably close to the OBX

Parts of Raleigh had significant flooding AGAIN last night. We were on northern edge but some areas saw up to 3” of rain. Our 0.67” brings the monthly total to 9.06”

I’d thought we missed the rain today but I was wrong. It’s pouring. Made it up to 86.7 but with dewpoints in the upper 70’s it felt like it was almost 100

High of 82.9 low of 71.6 humidity brought heat index into mid 90’s though. 0.53” of additional rain brings the MTD total to 8.39”

I’m shocked there wasn’t a flood watch this week. I think we’re under our third flash flood warning of the week

Did this sub forum trade climates with Seattle?

Todays 1.32” brings the mtd total to 7.86”. 80.8 for the high 71.8 for the low and obviously very humid with all the rainfall. Soggy would be an understatement describing the condition of my yard

Another inch of rain down… More to come today?

Yesterday’s 1.94” brings the monthly total to 6.54” here. Incredible flooding in parts of Raleigh yesterday like we haven’t seen in a very long time. It all came down in about 2 hours and some areas got 5-6” in that time

We finished with .56” yesterday which brought our MTD total to 4.60”. Incredible day today, currently 78 just barely hit 80 earlier

Did we jump to October? Currently 67 with moderate rain and a stiff NE breeze. 0.36” additional so far 4.29” event total

Finished with 3.93” and a high of 69.8 I honestly cannot remember the last August day that didn’t break 70 here

Cary got smacked. We’re just shy of 4” here and looks like some areas doubled that around Cary

Over 2” now and sitting at 67 degrees I misspoke- over 3” now and pouring still

Finally getting a soaking rain. 1” and counting