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NorthHillsWx

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Everything posted by NorthHillsWx

  1. NorthHillsWx
    If this “busts” for the Carolina’s from an ice perspective the Mets who hyped this are going to have to have a reckoning. The snow idea is gone but this is an example where withholding anything but saying “potential for significant winter weather” would save a lot of egg on faces if this doesn’t pan out, which is a distinct possibility right now.
  2. NorthHillsWx
    I keep thinking this. If this goes west we miss out on the initial band of WAA precip. If the only precip we get is from the firehose, with peak warm nose, the rain will be warmer when it falls before freezing and heavy rates equal runoff. We would likely avoid a serious ice storm for most of the forum. That notion didn’t seem possible until today
  3. NorthHillsWx
    Thanks, I’m mobile this morning so haven’t been able to look too hard
  4. NorthHillsWx
    Also less QPF. Might save us here in Raleigh
  5. NorthHillsWx
    Why were people saying the euro trended south? It looks like it if anything remained the same and eroded the wedge faster especially on eastern side
  6. NorthHillsWx
    I’m ready to get hurt again
  7. NorthHillsWx
    No, from a public perception standpoint this is atrocious. I’ve had friends and family even THIS MORNING ask me if I think we will “really get a foot of snow”. So many people see a post on social media or use those worthless weather apps and it just leads to confusion. People should be prepping for an ice storm, days without power, no heat. Instead half the public thinks this will be a big snow STILL
  8. NorthHillsWx
    I’m more talking the jump to a miller B that sends a surface low to East Tennessee. GFS up until yesterday never sniffed that. I expect most modeling to tick south today and CAD areas to tick a bit colder just because that happens with every CAD storm.
  9. NorthHillsWx
    It goes back to the notion, if it can’t rain why in the world did we think it can snow lol. NAM at range is typically useless besides maybe looking at thermals but another thing with this storm- we’re still more than 48 hours out here. Nothing brings precip in till after sunset Saturday now. At the rate it’s going it may be further delayed if these north trends keep happening and the WAA push goes to DC
  10. NorthHillsWx
    It’s crazy, yea it played in La La land too in the 5-7 day range but euro sniffed something out 4 days out, made that dramatic jump and here we are, everything has slowly worked into the euro camp. Once again, the GFS is just a terrible model. The Euro under 5 days is just a beacon of despair around here. If it’s bad, it ain’t going back the other way
  11. NorthHillsWx
    Well now looks like the cards left on the table are crippling ice storm or non event
  12. NorthHillsWx
    If most recent NAM is to be believed this is a low impact event. Through most of the storm most areas receive less than 1/2” QPF, it all rides north of us
  13. NorthHillsWx
    It’s like the weather gods hate us. Like every run, just a little worse than the last. For days. Nothing trends good, just a small incremental collapse, pain. If euro verified at least a lot on here have only nuisance ice. Cannot imagine local Mets explaining that off after the hype last 4 days
  14. NorthHillsWx
    It was weird, wasn’t really a north trend. Kind of just nukes the wedge
  15. NorthHillsWx
    18z EURO flips most of NC to rain
  16. NorthHillsWx
    I’ll make a bold proclamation: we never make it past 30 through the event (we being anyone in wake)
  17. NorthHillsWx
    Probably just the 12z euro re-named “in house”
  18. NorthHillsWx
    I haven’t felt a shred of joy from this sport in over 24 hours thank you gfs for throwing a bone
  19. NorthHillsWx
    SLEET BOMB!!!!
  20. NorthHillsWx
    Yea that was a pretty classic winter storm, just with a lot more moisture than normal. If the sleet areas held the bad ZR would be pretty limited and most would have several inches of concrete with fluff on top. Not a sexy storm but that would be quite fun given the alternatives we’ve seen. Let’s see others trend that way before getting too excited but it’s pretty obvious what needs to happen to achieve somewhat of a win here
  21. NorthHillsWx
    GFS holding its own and actually trending more strung out 48 hours out has to count for something right? … right?
  22. NorthHillsWx
    Look at QPF trend from 12z to 18z for the Northeast. It did NOT go north and in fact was the exact trend we want, strung out and not as amped
  23. NorthHillsWx
    Idk, that has kinda been jumping around a bit on GFS depiction. To me that was more noise than a trend
  24. NorthHillsWx
    That’s actually pretty good backside snow. Would be a great topper on the glacier
  25. NorthHillsWx
    Everyone please pray GooFuS scores a coup that run just kept central NCs lights on and all of us sledding Monday
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