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NorthHillsWx

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Everything posted by NorthHillsWx

  1. NorthHillsWx
    Forecasting conditions to improve against a strengthening El Niño is a new one for me. I’m still thinking we see reduced activity and a BN season, regardless of water temps. Crazy to bank on August to produce a AN season in any year
  2. NorthHillsWx
    It dropped our temp from 91 to 83 without any rain or clouds
  3. NorthHillsWx
    Yep, that’s been how it’s gone here. Watched areas just a few miles down the road get 1”+ while we barely got the edge of a collapsing cell. 0.12” for the day which brings the month to 0.17”
  4. NorthHillsWx
    Seeing enhanced activity in both the MDR and EPAC would be exceptionally contrary to climo for an El Niño season. Call me skeptical at best
  5. NorthHillsWx
    High of 96 heat index made it to 106. I miss that cool May. Once again, no rain
  6. NorthHillsWx
    0.0” of rain from the 80% chance of storms yesterday. Heard some thunder so I guess they got close but really surprised how everything went south of here
  7. NorthHillsWx
    Completely missed my neck of the woods. 0.0” of rain. Sandhills seemed to get some good storms last night
  8. NorthHillsWx
    Maybe it gets going after dark but it seems like a bit of a bust so far with just two cells that seem kinda capped
  9. NorthHillsWx
    Full sun in Raleigh now and temp shot up to 88.3. Feels like a severe day now
  10. NorthHillsWx
    Still overcast here in my part of the triangle
  11. NorthHillsWx
    Picked up 3.27” last week which brings the monthly total to 3.35”
  12. NorthHillsWx
    Bret definitely peaked last night. Recon was very unimpressive this morning and satellite presentation is degrading quickly.
  13. NorthHillsWx
    That’s one of the more interesting discussions I’ve read from NHC in awhile
  14. NorthHillsWx
    We’ll we lucked into our first soaker of the event. 1.4” in 45 minutes and still raining. Event total is over 2.2” now. EDIT: we ended with 1.54” over about an hour. Our storm total is now 2.27” bringing the month to 2.35”. Probably more to come later on today but that was a heck of a soaker this AM
  15. NorthHillsWx
    Just 0.07” here today brings our 3 day total to 0.80” and our monthly total to a paltry 0.88”. Really hope we capitalize on something before this system moves out. Even drier at the farm in Franklin county. They have only rained one of the 3 days since this system began
  16. NorthHillsWx
    Seems like this flight more or less confirmed the NHC estimates. Maybe they bump it to 55kt but everything seems to match earlier intensity estimates
  17. NorthHillsWx
    Definitely a little frustrating watching heavy returns evaporate before getting here all day. 0.32” for the day while areas just a few miles away had triple that +. 0.78” for the month
  18. NorthHillsWx
    Just 0.38” here today. Brings the month total to a paltry 0.46”. Hoping we capitalize this week we really need a soaker
  19. NorthHillsWx
    GFS brings the cutoff low further south. Central NC is completely dry through the run. This would run up significant drought conditions
  20. NorthHillsWx
    We need it. Flash drought here. Just 0.08” for the month and everything has gotten crispy in a hurry
  21. NorthHillsWx
    Another cool day. 59.7 for the low and 73.4 for the high. Just 0.04” of rain despite rain falling most of the afternoon
  22. NorthHillsWx
    Before typing this I hadn’t looked at most recent recon. This is a storm. FL winds up and SFMR winds between 35-40 kts
  23. NorthHillsWx
    It’s definitely close but with minimal/no land impacts and FL winds below TS force I don’t disagree with NHC. Right on the cusp of a name though wouldn’t take much to get a 40mph storm at this point
  24. NorthHillsWx
    Our highest temp for the entire month was 85. What an amazing spring we have had! No hot days and just enough rain
  25. NorthHillsWx
    FL winds do not support an upgrade but pressure and SFMR winds would. Circulation has definitely wrapped up since yesterday as well. It’s a flip of the coin I guess as to whether to upgrade it. It is definitely sheared but that is a tight circulation with convection firing nearby enough to make it look like a low end TS
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