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NorthHillsWx

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  1. NorthHillsWx
    While I will admit there aren’t any really warm days in the LR, it’s freaking above freezing across the entire US outside of mountain areas for days straight in mid-late December across the border. I mean when ND is struggling to get below freezing (not below zero) in late December, we are in major major trouble for a long time
  2. NorthHillsWx
    Garner Tornado rates EF-1
  3. NorthHillsWx
    It is certainly concerning seeing the consensus towards a prolonged mild pattern for the entire continent. We’ll need to see some signs of cold air building up north to have any hope going into January. Like I said earlier, kicking the can through December isn’t the worst but it becomes an issue if we’re still sniffing for a change in the LR when the calendar flips to January
  4. NorthHillsWx
    Im ok with it as long as we’re seeing some signs of something changing in early Jan. Otherwise, we’re going to be stuck in our can kicking pattern we have been in since December 2018
  5. NorthHillsWx
    All indications seem to be pointing to a punt until early January at the earliest for sustained cold and snow chances outside the mountains. MJO and ensemble guidance is ugly. That being said, my brother is reporting about 1/2” of surprise snow from Urbanna Virginia this morning
  6. NorthHillsWx
    I wish this was snow but we “jackpotted” with this event. Finished with 4.04” of drought busting rain
  7. NorthHillsWx
    Yea I’ve noticed that. Insane rates here. Just like that we’re over 3”
  8. NorthHillsWx
    This is drought-busting rain. Training over us since 4:00. Over 2”
  9. NorthHillsWx
    Confirmed tornado in Garner
  10. NorthHillsWx
    Rotation near garner is starting to look dangerous
  11. NorthHillsWx
    Sorry I should’ve elaborated- 17th through the end of the run periods (which happened to be Christmas). I wasn’t questioning your statement I was saying it looks like the entire lower 48 will be AN from the 17th-on using the ensembles. Was simply curious what you saw beyond that.
  12. NorthHillsWx
    EPS and GEFS have been pretty consistent in torching from December 17th through Christmas. What are you seeing that shows a flip?
  13. NorthHillsWx
    Our winter is the Iowa offense. Getting our punter out early and often
  14. NorthHillsWx
    Todays weather would’ve worked on Christmas Day
  15. NorthHillsWx
    Rained 0.05” last night
  16. NorthHillsWx
    2.25” with some showers continuing. Much much needed
  17. NorthHillsWx
    Had a heavier band setup for an hour overhead but otherwise been mostly drizzle today. Little shy of 1/2” so far
  18. NorthHillsWx
    Latest GFS has trended the way of every other front this fall and it really dries up east of the mountains. Rainfall amounts of <1/2” pretty much for everyone in drought area and much of NC and upstate SC <1/4”. Canadian and EURO still look wet but definitely do not like the GFS splitting the energy over the area. I’ve seen that story play out at this range a time or 5 since September
  19. NorthHillsWx
    Looks like our 0.02” mtd total will stand for the next 10 days at least
  20. NorthHillsWx
    Drought busting 0.02” here today
  21. NorthHillsWx
    0z GFS drops less that 0.10” of rain across much of central NC through the end of the run
  22. NorthHillsWx
    Looking like we may have to wait till about then to see anything wet good lord
  23. NorthHillsWx
    The entire state of NC will be in moderate + drought in the next couple weeks. Starting to become a ground water/fire issue. Went over the Tar river yesterday and it’s the lowest I’ve seen it in years
  24. NorthHillsWx
    When is this above average El Niño rainfall supposed to start? It is bone dry. We have received a total of 0.18” the last 4 weeks from one rainfall
  25. NorthHillsWx
    Can confirm. I bet we’ve had 20”+ of rain in Belize since Thursday. Many roads in San Pedro underwater and the place we’re staying has had water issues and flooding of most buildings. Along with the non stop 30-40 mph north winds it’s beautiful
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