NorthHillsWx

Thanks for the clarification. I need to check it for sure but I think it’s been since February 18-19 that RDU hit two consecutive days at or below freezing

Last year, March 2022, RDU recorded freezes on March 12, 13, 28, 29. RDU also dropped to freezing on the 14th. Further, RDU dropped to freezing on April 20th.

Sad we never had anything close to an event it would inevitably have been brought up with! The biggest sun angle/warm ground talk offender has always been and will continue to be the meteorology department at WRAL

Low of 34.9 and maybe a little light frost? It seemed like it had already melted when I woke up at 7. Huge difference from here to Louisburg (about 20 miles) as usual. The farm dropped down to 27.6 which is a hard freeze. The Franklin county airport supports this as they briefly dropped to 28. I’m sure that nipped back the budding trees somewhat

We broke 40 at my house (39.9) this morning. That was our first morning below 40 since February 19. I don’t need to tell you how anomalous that is. There are some serious records that could fall across the southeast as far as earliest last freezes are concerned

I actually disagree with this. I feel like models have been relatively locked in from inside 7-8 days. We haven’t had anything besides the ULL low that made it inside medium range as a threat. Beyond 7-8 days as has been and, for the foreseeable future, will always be fantasy land. The only reason people strayed into fantasy land this year was there was literally nothing interesting to talk about inside the fantasy range. Overall though, I think models did a great job inside a week, the only issue being they collectively and correctly eroded weenie hope every run once anything got into that range. The major SSW event was really the only thing that kept this forum entertaining for the last month bc there was just nothing else going to give us hope in the sh*t patten we were stuck in, so all of GA’s posts were much welcomed even if nothing really panned out as far as sensible weather impacts for our region. Winter 2022-23 will forever go down as the winter that never happened (I think I saw RDU finished with 22 of 28 days above average in February)

Slipped out to my farm earlier today and noticed it had gotten quite dusty on the dirt road. Nice to have a few days off from the recent rain

Noticed the bees today too. They were out in force

Low of 40.8 last night

SER just says “what cold?”… We’lol be lucky to get a freeze. Many, many earliest last frost/freeze records are in jeopardy this spring

I’m convinced the SER has officially become an immovable object. It’ll fade for 2-3 days for sure but it’s still there hiding, resurrecting itself for the next 14 days immediately before another system approaches. Literally we cannot even get a frost this year, I do not remember the last time it hit freezing at my house. I will say, the weather today was AMAZING! I’ll take this any day

Looks like a few frosts, or normal for March

We reached the put up or shut up timeframe and the modeling chose the latter

From snow to 75 on the 13th. Oh how fun GFS long range op runs can be

You know this winters bad when the NE forum has a thread 80+ pages long for a 3-6” slop storm

Picked up 0.18” this morning for a two day total of 0.90”. Currently 57.7 after a low of 56.7. Thankfully the pollen is being washed away by this rain because it was already getting bad

I usually cut modeled wind forecasts in half

Might not even get rain with the main line in most of NC

Seems we forgot to start a March obs thread, so here we go. Picked up a soaking rain this morning, looks like 0.72” will be the overnight/morning total. Currently 59 and feels extremely spring-like with a DP of 58.8

Even with the blocking, the SER WILL NOT DIE

I mowed my yard for the second time this year today. Was quite nice out. Had to spray the plethora of weeds that have taken off. Without exaggeration, we are more than a month ahead of schedule for the growing season.

In other words: here we go again. Cold ain’t making it to the SE in time, if at all.

Completely caved to GFS this run. Crazy how poor the Euro has been this season