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ORH_wxman

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Everything posted by ORH_wxman

  1. ORH_wxman
    The record 2 year futility is actually 34.8" in 1979-80 and 1980-81....amd since last year had 12.4", this year would need 22.3" to set a new record. So BOS needs to have less than or equal to 13.2" the rest of the way to set a new record.
  2. ORH_wxman
    Its around the time the MJO is going into phase 8....I think there's a pretty good chance for a decent pattern in 2nd half of February, but obviously nobody will care if ti doesn't produce a big dog, lol
  3. ORH_wxman
    Yeah its really unstable aloft with the ULL/trough almost over us and at the sfc, we have a bit of an inverted trough producing some slight convergence helping form a few bands....and the colder advection at 925/850 is producing the OES on the south shore/Cape.
  4. ORH_wxman
    Temp has actually fallen about 1.5 degrees here in the past 60-90 min down to 31F. Snow is sticking to pavement now.
  5. ORH_wxman
    N ORH county elevations into monads were the one lock in this system to do well....too bad we didn't get a solid positive bust elsewhere in SNE. Still, it looks and feels like winter today around here with a very dense 2.5-3" OTG and steady snow faling. So, we take the little things this winter. Yeah see above in my reply....at least it's a wintry day today. I have a mini snow globe out there right now with this band....you even have a little band in your area too
  6. ORH_wxman
    Nice steady snow here for a while with that little band. Not sticking to any dark surfaces at peak insolation of the day here. But it’s refreshing the piles and existing snow and on bushes.
  7. ORH_wxman
    Getting my own little coke line here.
  8. ORH_wxman
    Yep, I said that when they were posted....they'd be too light in elevated interior which they were. But they weren't bad elsewhere.
  9. ORH_wxman
    I actually find it funny that their second place streak on 4"+ got broken because of an April snowstorm....
  10. ORH_wxman
    I don't have strong thoughts on Feb....it is typically our best month in El Nino, but the first week looks pretty quiet unless that D4-5 threat somehow comes back in more amped. Then who knows...pattern looks like it wants to reshuffle to favorable by mid-month, but we'll see. We do look like we're going from phase 7 to phase 8 on MJO which should help constructively interfere with the pattern....amp up that aleutian low to spike heights out west....but again, I wouldn't be confident until we're closer.
  11. ORH_wxman
    Yeah but the sample size on that is exceedingly small, isn't it? I don't see how that would be predictive unless someone can illustrate a physical attribtution.
  12. ORH_wxman
    Picked up another inch and a half overnight. Total starting from yesterday morning a bit shy of 3” but that first round compacted before last night. Looks like we got at least double that amount on the piles though because of how dense it is
  13. ORH_wxman
    Yeah threat is a really vague term.
  14. ORH_wxman
    Been getting sleet bombed here off and on.
  15. ORH_wxman
    I’m watching that area just north of the ML center in NE PA…I think if we’ve got a positive bust up our sleeve tonight, it’s going to happen just north of that…Berks to N ORH county and near MA/NH border looks best but some of the goods may be as far south as pike region or S MA border near dryslot. We’ll see. Expectations fairly low, but we watch.
  16. ORH_wxman
    It’s not a classic clipper because those come out of NW or at least central Canada…this is dropping from almost up near Baffin Island. It’s an exotic pattern…I am not counting on anything right now, but it is within the envelope of possibilities to see at least a few inches.
  17. ORH_wxman
    Short term guidance has been looking better for later. Euro was kind of bullish to the pike/495/rt 2 tonight. Had additional advisory snows. There’s some midlevel goodies further north too for S NH into dendrite land, but near the ML dryslot, there’s almost come convective bands that we should watch.
  18. ORH_wxman
    Been sleety when precip is light but it flips to aggregates when these heavier echoes happen
  19. ORH_wxman
    I mean if this drops further west then it would be a pretty decent storm. Unlikely at this time but it’s been pretty volatile on guidance. But even some steady light stuff with that temp profile, it could add up to several fluffy inches.
  20. ORH_wxman
    Euro is kind of interesting for eastern areas next friday night/Saturday. Drops that ULL straight south and it’s really cold/unstable profile.
  21. ORH_wxman
    Yeah there’s prob some spots above 1000 feet that got close to 2”…esp a little further south near ORH and Paxton…wonder if Pickles ever went to Paxton.
  22. ORH_wxman
    Yeah maybe a few tenths more if you’re not on a dark surface. It was about an inch on the walk but prob 1.2-1.4 on the deck. Honestly was better than I expected on the thump before it started this morning…once it flipped I was hoping to get past 2” but the heavy stuff didn’t last long enough.
  23. ORH_wxman
    Pure paste
  24. ORH_wxman
    Doesn’t look like a big deal. Maybe another 1-3”…though if the NAM is more correct, some places in ORH county over to Ray’s area could see more than that.
  25. ORH_wxman
    Yeah I told most people the snow will shut off for a while this afternoon and into early evening and then prob resume late evening once the commahead of saturation collapses back SE. The WCB and CCB never linking up cleanly in this event definitely put a cap on the totals…even with marginal temps it would have been more prolific if you linked the two
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