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ORH_wxman

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Everything posted by ORH_wxman

  1. ORH_wxman
    Wow a DT post...just caught up in the thread. I feel like it’s been years. Hope you’re doing well. Anyways, this model battle it definitely interesting. I feel like the gfs took a step toward the euro at 18z but the question is which one trends more. I figure the euro is likely to trend a little more east and less phasing. But whether we get a 50/50 compromise or a 70/30 or 80/20 makes a huge difference.
  2. ORH_wxman
    The upper level system is pretty strong still to the southwest so if we had another frame or two, it might still enhance the CCB across new england. Still not the obscenity that 12z was, but the slowness of this run prevents us from seeing the full potential because that probably happens at 90 hours or so.
  3. ORH_wxman
    We got a new thread for that threat
  4. ORH_wxman
    Not as dynamic as 12z....owing to the southern stream staying separate for longer. Still a pretty impressive system, but not the utter nuclear bomb that 12z was.
  5. ORH_wxman
    Yeah this is a really late phase....slower system too.
  6. ORH_wxman
    18z NAM southern stream dragging its heels big time vs 12z. This will either be well east of 12z or end up as solely a southern stream event this run (think more like the GFS type solutions we've seen the past day or two)
  7. ORH_wxman
    Yeah your top storms in Jackson will be way better than N Conway. Some of those long duration firehose storms give almost grotesque snowfall totals there. Like I think the late February 2010 storm put up some ridiculous number in Randolph.
  8. ORH_wxman
    Yeah EPS is pretty similar...slightly E which is par for the course.
  9. ORH_wxman
    Yeah if you were making a first WAG right now, it would probably not be a terrible map. I'd prob be more cautious in SNE than anywhere, but there's a chance the interior could see something.
  10. ORH_wxman
    Yeah I'd prob blend the two...I think that map is too low based on those ridiculous dynamics (esp interior elevations).
  11. ORH_wxman
    Nice little west-based NAO block on the Euro after that storm....that could make things interesting for the 12/10-12/15 period.
  12. ORH_wxman
    I'd feel pretty good for the white mountain gang over eastward into interior Maine....that swath has the most wiggle room.
  13. ORH_wxman
    Yeah but it's been later and later on each euro run for the past 3-4 runs. At some point the trend will stop. Hopefully it goes one more tick and then stops, lol.
  14. ORH_wxman
    Compromise incoming....Scooter steals western area's snow again.
  15. ORH_wxman
    Saved in this thread for later laughs
  16. ORH_wxman
    Hubbdave jackpot
  17. ORH_wxman
    Yeah I'm not expecting this to actually verify, but it's a fun solution to look at.
  18. ORH_wxman
    Lol, abslute destruction in interior SNE.
  19. ORH_wxman
    Nuclear detonation by 78h
  20. ORH_wxman
    Might get CNE too...it's getting squeezed a bit by 72h...we'll see if interior SNE gets in on something this run.
  21. ORH_wxman
    This will probably be a really good run for NNE trying to extrapolate at 66h
  22. ORH_wxman
    Oh yeah for sure...models have been an utter disaster on this storm. I was just saying wha would prob happen on the NAM solution if we could extrapolate (prob need to weenie tag ourselves for extrpolating the 84h NAM). Being able to wait until Fri or Sat to make a decision will be ideal.
  23. ORH_wxman
    It would be good in N ME....in another frame it prob collapses the isotherms eastward. The atmosphere is basically imploding like that submersible vehicle in the movie The Abyss.
  24. ORH_wxman
    Yeah I don't think anyone is actually taking this solution that seriously....all one has to do is look at the last 3-4 model runs of any piece of guidance to see how much flip-flopping is going on. I do agree with you that it could be too warm given that type of dynamic solution....I feel like the atmosphere is basically imploding over BID into Buzzards Bay and PYM....that prob collapses the S+ almost to BOS in that scenario....even a model like the NAM prob couldn't resolve that type of mico-nuke.
  25. ORH_wxman
    Revenge of runnawayiceberg against all the E MA peeps whole have been stealing his snow for years.
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