ORH_wxman
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Everything posted by ORH_wxman
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Yeah after 21z would be more ideal with sun going down. The meat of it is still mostly after 6-7pm though for your area.
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IT should be ripping across much of SNE by 18-19z
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Yeah I can't believe there isn't at least an advisory out there.
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HRRR went wild again at 15z after backing off a bit at 14z. At least this will be an interesting nowcast.
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Timing keeps getting pushed up....looking at radar it is obvious why. The front edge of the main slug is already streaming into the south coast.
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It's usually wrong on those cases. Lol.
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For SNE, the 4pm-9pm timeframe is the key. Could be a crazy thump. Further north into CNE, they will get the pivot on the CCB between around 10pm and 3am.
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We didn't believe you anyway when you said you didn't want it. There's no resisting an event like this.
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My area got destroyed in the 3/7-8/18 storm a couple years ago...it was notable even at the bottom of the hill. We had like 12" near the top of the 400' hill and down around 150-200 it was more like 7-8"...I wonder if we'll see something similar this time, though with lesser amounts. Not expecting double digits again.
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NAM has definitely been the northern outlier the past few runs....definitely some disagreement for so close in.
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The Kuchera numbers are more realistic looking...like 7-8" for ORH hills to S NH to N Middlesex county....3-6" for metrowest and 2-4" for most of CT.
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Yeah I expect the first couple hours to be wasted....then the really heavy stuff moves in and we probably rip for 3 or 4 hours....it just depends if we actually go 2" per hour or more like 1" per hour.
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I'm still skeptical of more than 3 or 4 inches here...but I admit it's getting pretty interesting.
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Ran out of my basement
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Yeah probably anyone getting over 4 or 5" is going to start having issues. It's paste.
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This is massive thump if it verifies close to this:
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HRRR is ridiculous....crazy bent back WF in midlevels.
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RAP and HRRR have a nuclear thump between like 5pm And 9pm over E CT/RI and C/E MA...gonna have to watch that slug of high lift. If it can be mostly snow then someone is gonna get pounded.
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That’s the closest the rgem has gotten warning snows to BOS.
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Lol, wait until the rgem clown map comes out. What an absolute destruction for metrowest in MA
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That’s so far north and warm that even those earlier runs of the euro were giving a more snow down here. Lol.
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MA doesn’t have shelter in place in effect.
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It’s still not quite letting go of that northern stream involvement. But it’s been trending a little more toward the more consolidated look. We’ll see which idea wins. I could honestly see it going either way.
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My current spot is really weird. I could see getting 1-2” of slop or 8-10” of paste. Out near 495 at 350-400 feet...could def go either way. At least there’s something to track inside of 24 hours here with a lot of uncertainty. Makes each model run interesting.
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If you want to go to best spot in N ORH county on easterly flow, I’d go like rt 101 in Ashburnham off 140 there...there’s some parking lots around too on that road. It’s about 1300 feet there. Weenie ridge in Princeton is never a bad spot but not easy to find a spot to just pull over. I guess you could do ranger station on mountain rd at WaWa....or just hang out a couple hundred feet lower (still 1200 feet) at the center of town.
