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ORH_wxman

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Everything posted by ORH_wxman

  1. ORH_wxman
    It's definitely making up gorund now...more amped at 36h.
  2. ORH_wxman
    We didn't get hosed as bad in boxing day as further east and northeast in the Tip to ASH belt....we had about a foot while some of those areas had like 6-7" of sand.
  3. ORH_wxman
    The confluence is just a smidge weaker, so that might be enough to make up for the s/w dragging some on this run.
  4. ORH_wxman
    Euro is actually less amped through 18h than 06z....wouldn't that be the ultimate Euro move, to do the opposite of the other guidance.
  5. ORH_wxman
  6. ORH_wxman
    Euro running now...definitely expect it to come NW this run, but the question is how much.
  7. ORH_wxman
    I was commenting on Taunton....the Cape would get a lot of rain on that setup. You'd still get some snow....but rain at the height for sure.
  8. ORH_wxman
    Doesn't look like 925 gets warmer than about -3C....pretty hard to rain in that setup unless you are out on the water.
  9. ORH_wxman
    It's not ideal for huge wind due to the frigid cold low levels....when you have a damming setup, it's harder for winds to mix. It should get pretty darn windy on the Cape though where they are much warmer in the low levels....abd maybe even E MA coast for a time. The interior would probably due better for wind if the high was more west in Ontario which would be less cross-isobaric flow.
  10. ORH_wxman
    I think that will be an issue just north of the mid-level death band...you'll prob have a lot of lower level dry air that makes it arctic sand wherever that happens. I don't think you'll get a massive virga storm though...you prob need to be at the very northern periphery to stay virga all storm.
  11. ORH_wxman
    You taught them well...... They were even whining about NAO blocks for a few runs even though this would be in Ottawa without it.
  12. ORH_wxman
    I fully expect a meesenger shuffle SE at the end...the question si where does this peak on the models for the NW trend. It could go further at 00z before coming back some.
  13. ORH_wxman
    He just pissed off the karma gods...now he'll be choking on exhaust while MHT gets ripped.
  14. ORH_wxman
    ALB gets destroyed on the 12z Ukie.
  15. ORH_wxman
    You'll prob still get plenty of snow, but there will be a lot of paste there I think as a chunk of the storm you'll be on the warm side of the CF....so it'll be 32F mash potatoes.
  16. ORH_wxman
    You might have to deal with another round at 00z before the messenger shuffle starts.
  17. ORH_wxman
    I'm going to troll him mercilessly if he doesn't end up in an exhaust zone.
  18. ORH_wxman
    He's gonna bitch and whine his way to a 15" storm.
  19. ORH_wxman
    Usually splitting the difference with the 10 to 1 is reasonable assuming you are on the cold side of the CF.
  20. ORH_wxman
    Lol, the CF on the RGEM is sick
  21. ORH_wxman
    This always happens to those who are kind of on the line or not very seasoned in this....you get the suicide posts based on zonked meso runs, and then a couple hours later they will all be high-fiving when the Ukie/Euro come out and look great for them.
  22. ORH_wxman
    The delegation met and decided he had to be excommunicated....
  23. ORH_wxman
    This is what I'm expecting...it probably overshot it, but I've been expecting global models to tickle NW for a couple days now. This setup has never looked like a squashed one to me (I was commenting yesterday or the day before how I have never seen an H5 setup like that which went too far south for most of SNE)
  24. ORH_wxman
    You'd prob lose power on the NAM....you'd get like a foot of grease stuck to everything.
  25. ORH_wxman
    I'm ready to play naked twister with the CF on the 3km.
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