ORH_wxman
-
Posts
90,938 -
Joined
-
Last visited
Content Type
Profiles
Blogs
Forums
American Weather
Media Demo
Store
Gallery
Everything posted by ORH_wxman
-
We only comment on the OP runs that show cutters these days...we ignore the D13 snowstorms.
-
Euro is prob on crack....I'd be a lot more intrigued if this was a few years ago when it was more dominant on east coast storms.
-
No the original cranberry bog storm was 12/31/08.
-
One more pic. Actually coming down a bit harder now. Normally this wouldn’t even get attention but this winter it feels like a real storm
-
Yeah Jan 27, 2008 to be specific.
-
Fatties
-
Icon still a clean whiff but it did back west about 40-50 miles.
-
Let back that in another 40-50 miles.
-
Nice fatties falling here. Solid coating on everything.
-
This weekend....storm that crushed the Cape/SE MA on the 06z Euro
-
Yeah the classic "look for 3-6' or 4-8" before the flip" and then it would flip after 1 inch, and then rain 1-2 inches on top of it and then freeze 6 hours later with temps in the single digits and bare ground.
-
Getting some legit cold airmasses in here would certainly help.....you can have imperfect storm tracks and do well when you have a good antecedent airmass.
-
Steadier light snow has commenced here. Maybe we can pick up an inch before the flip later today.
-
Not biting on that coming far enough west, maybe if we see another solid movement today.
-
Happened in 2020.
-
Yeah no use in looking at OP runs in SNE until maybe this weekend or even next week depending on how any individual threats materialize.
-
Same sun angle as 12/1
-
The reveal is: 1. 1989 2. 2014 3. 2021 4. 1994 So 2 through 4 were prolific snow producers but 1 was a horrific dud.
-
They get 6"+ before the flip....root for Reggie to be right because its over a foot up there.
-
I would too...it looks more favorable in the Jan 21-25 period than the GEFS, though GEFS look like they are about to go nuclear on the cold near the end. But EPS looks like it might want to build the EPO ridge much higher if it went out further....you could see it building at the very end. Regardless, either pattern is going to give chances better than the current pattern. Hopefully we can get some good timing for once.
-
You won't finish with 3"...the question is whether you limp your way to something like 15" or rally to a more respectable number. I think we need to get on the scoreboard with a decent event prior to the end of the month if we're going to rally to a more respectable number. Hell, I average over 60" and I'm sitting around 3" as well. It's been pretty amazing to avoid even smaller events or front enders. Though we may pick up an inch or so tomorrow morning before it's washed away.
-
EPS is definitely more of a +PNA with a neutral EPO versus the GEFS which is more solid -EPO and neutral PNA. Both patterns are way better than what we currently have but offer different threat profiles.
-
N Conway is on the line there....verbatim it looks like they get a decent shot of snow, but it's close.
-
That storm with temps near 0 was actually Jan 2014.
-
Funny you mentioned that year...that map is on there but it's not the first one....it's the last one. The first one is actually a complete rat....Feb 1989. It had cold, but no snow and the largest precipitation event of the month was a 57F cutter that dumped 1-2 inches of rain.
