Ruin

Lol after all the talk avout the cold surpressing this I'd frigging laugh

Snow flurries atm temp dropped 35 to 33 winds are about 15 to 25 with gusts 35

Lol models are always uncertain

Cold always gets pushed back or moderates models are hardly ever right on the cold it's normally always more short lived or warmer

lol very very true

no it was abc 27

one of my local mets are still saying we are on track to have a mild winter on track to what they forecasted in the fall. cant make this stuff up lol.

thats fine but why is it models have such a hard time not just long range I understand but very short range? I also feel like a lot of people feel how you do but I feel thats an easy answer to give when the question may not have an answer lol is it to much for models to be better?

things I dont understand 1 people say you cant track storms a week out but the mets all track storms a week out and they hint at something just to hint at it. if its wrong they dont mention it again or if its right they report on it for ratings I get that. What I dont get how models can be so wrong 1-2-3 days out at times like how does a low go from the east coast with a massive push of moisture and cold only then 1 model run go to a apps lake cutter and the storm be all rain in the 50s? What info was put into that model run to make it go to one extreme to the other I wish we were told such things. 2 how since the model upgrade in 2011-14 have these models gotten worse imo I know other do feel this way. We have feed back errors and or just all out whacky solution. I remember one storm from 2021 it was said it was going to be pushed to far south due to the cold air then what do you know the cold air vanished. The low moved west of us into western ohio this was said not to happen due to a whacky solution but it happenend. am I complaining sure but Its 2025 and we cant even get a storm 12-24 hours out let alone a week out correct. I dunno how many times a storm is 12 hours away and we just hear its to soon to know we have to wait and see. Also if some one can direct me to a site where it actually shows the accuracy percentage of the models over the years that would be awesome. Like some say the euro is more accurate but how accurate is it 40% 30% etc

if this does happen and this storm fizzles out like I heard mants mets want. I keep hearing now its going to weaken the farther east it goes first time hearing that. But we all know what they will say we dodge a bullet with this one and cheer and clap on tv.

eh sadly I hope this doesnt change the cold to a pattern change where we lose the cold

Im just saying isnt the Ukie one the models you dont really rely on all to much? thats what I was saying

im honestly starting to question how every year is always the new hotness lol

if we are grasping at straws and looking at the Ukie I dont even want to look at the other models lol

I swear models suck so much

Is it we all had a storm till we didn't have a storm

Imo they are all pretty trash. Did they post accuracy percentage

he retired he had a page up for a while i think he did facebook streams but havent seen one in years he may have had a twitter too I think he ended up doing to many big hat storms during a year all the storms kept missing and it was mild. He got trolled a bit too I think thats why I havent seen him.

Yeah sadly it's either a cutter or to cold and pushes the systems south even tho strong lows like to go north

I just want a good month or so of colder then normal and more snow then normal a good winter to kill off some of these japanese beetles and lantern fly's it would be a plus too since i like both cold and snow

ive just seen this song and dance from the models before cold cold only to be pushed back 1 week 2 week a month then just disappear like a fart in the wind. More often then not the misses he models do are normally for cold and snow sadly

i sweat to go if this thing falls apart or ends up being a cutter im done lol

cloudy a bit hazy and 55

Im so damn tired of cutters shouldnt the cold air suppress it to the south

KU?