Sernest14
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Everything posted by Sernest14
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GFS looks very similar to NAM at 27 & 42 minus the H in the PNW
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sorry for being ignorant to this but if the system happens to be slower as the NAM is depicting - would this reduce the level of N/NW movement and allow it to run on a more ENE trajectory?
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Down to 41- was at 51 2 hours ago. Didn’t think we were supposed to hit this until 10-11 or so
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The latest HRRR shows current Low a bit further SE than the last 10 runs - should be good right?
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His last call seemed pretty reasonable- a little under in the 6-8 isolated but not sure how just north and west of dc fared?
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How’d folks do in and around the city?
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Looks like after this little band we’re about done.
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Just passed 5” in grassy areas now. .5” pickup in 25 min
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Up to 4.5” now. This band is putting it down good
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Compaction is killing depth
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First measurement (grass) 3.25” about 30 min ago. Other hard surfaces about 2”
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Power back on for now. Still nice gusts with light/moderate
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Has been moderate all snow for the past hour or so just north in Ashland
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How do y’all upload pics? I keep getting file too large error
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Woke up to no power and covered everything in sleet/snow. Wasn’t expecting it like this until a few more hours
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Assuming he’s talking ratios in terms of more compaction and on the heavy/wet side which would likely drop it to more of a 6:1-8:1
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HRRR trending wetter and longer duration. .2-.25” for the AM ending around noon
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Looks like the NAM lost that 2nd batch - HRRR does show lighter (.08")
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Kind of wish this wasn't ending in 2 hours - different type of storm and fun to watch.
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Got a little base of sleet for the rest of the freezing rain, should be bad for what surfaces were doing ok
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Looks like it'll end really early compared to originally modeled? HRRR and NAM showing sometime between 1-2pm with an isolated shower
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dumping sleet at the moment - don't think i've seen it this heavy.
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HRRR got uglier though, by a lot
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Yeah definitely not good for them, looked to me that RIC metro and points west and north seem to have .15”-.25 cut
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I was just about to say we may get out of this lucky haha - looked like less frozen and cutting ice totals on NAM by a bit (at least what was posted in the main forum)
