Sernest14

18z NAM still says >.5" ice

usually only a degree off at most from GA and like 2 from RIC. Where's best place to view reports? I'm seeing like a 3 degree difference for ashland depending on where I check.

HRRR 18Z drops ice down for us to under .25" but really hits us more with sleet at a decent clip 9am -1pm.

temps seem to be busted low (gauging apps/sites we're at 37 with a forecasted high of 39)

There's a few bands - i think it's trending a little drier with us but still most have us between .8" - 1"+ in total precip.

Also that initial heavy thump is happening overnight which will make it worse.

Looks like an inch of sleet followed by .3"-.5"+ ice (some models show more ice but think .3" is the low end)

Also, Northern Tool over by Rooms To Go was where we got ours a few years back. I'd check there too And should have read the other comments first haha

This was posted on facebook about an hour ago: Hoober Inc (10450 Success St, Ashland, VA) . tSSp1ldonsorehd · Ashland, VA · We have (3) Case IH 4200W gas generators left in stock for $588.00 plus tax and (1) Kubota 11kW diesel generator in stock for $7,175.00 plus tax. Call us at the Ashland location at 798-1500 if you have any questions and ask for the Parts Dept.

it's going to be ugly - ground is saturated and loose plus trees are already wet and heavy

how do the winds look?

Wow - still going Saturday 00z Have the freezing rain amounts?

They did get about 4" and .5" ice with this last storm. This doesn't look good.

Ouch!

HRRR looks a little bit more juiced on the southern area at 60 compared to NAM - cold also digs a bit more south and we snow through the run (12z thursday) compared to NAM where we start as sleet/freezing rain.

And DT back with the “no models/data show anything significant for Richmond area”- ukie, cmc, gfs all show something fairly significant along with the rdps. NAM is basically on its own island at this point

Man that GFS cutoff is brutal.

GFS

UKMET with the continued trend more south - at least in terms of expansion RDPS (end of run so hard take with a grain of salt) shows what the GFS does - at least .5" of freezing rain

Will take only 3 hours without power from this (fingers crossed things do t turn overnight). Most of Ashland town and just outside seemed to be without around the same and was restored fairly quickly

Generators for the win! Going on about 3.5 hours- roughly .55-.6” here on top of 6” snow (compacted down to 3.75” now)

That went away quick - looks like we’re done?

Nevermind was looking at models which don’t show this big ass swath coming towards us

Looks like we’re pretty much done now