Sernest14
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Everything posted by Sernest14
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12z NAM ends up sliding a bit more south and less amped on that second wave. Still some accumulating snow for SCentral and SE VA
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another thing to note is that the bigger storm will likely be much higher ratios closer to 15:1 so up whatever is shown on the 10:1 maps (not sure if Kuchera adjusts for that already though?)
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man I hope the 0z NAM is right; 6 inches as an appetizer before the bigger storm would be amazing
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Nope euro vs all models. Wasnt icon and ukie showing similar track?
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So are we at all models vs gfs at this point?
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Hoping we can sty cooler longer before plain rain. We’re 3-4 degrees cooler than what HRRR was showing at 12z
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Same- switched over briefly but back to good snow- guessing this will last until this band pushes through
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Dumping now- heavier band just started and looks to be continuing for a bit
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Hopping we hold to snow for this yellow incoming on the radar
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Has it started yalls way? Looks like (based on traffic cams) it’s started in the city?
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May be the greatest asshole but he’s also a great met
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3k NAM gives 1-2+” of ice up the blue ridge
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Nothings on top of each other in your screenshot? The purple shows that there will also be icing in these areas. But on that note, no idea how that much snow drops if they’re also get ice as well
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Agreed - anyone have 20:1 maps?
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curious on how well the HRRR generally does?
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Looks in the same spot as 18z at 48
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good news with the models is it's a brief transition to rain followed by dry slot so we get the initial 3-5/6" thump and brief rain.
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We've already beat last year haven't we? didn't we get less than 1.5" last year? Nevermind - that was Winter 19/20
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NAM does seem to trend warmer so that's a plus??
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NAM just showed this more so than others have with a lot of VA getting into Sleet/Freezing Rain.
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Nam 18z, Euro 12z and GFS 12z all virtually the same through 36
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81 special; huge cutoff up 95
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deleted - flipped on me to previous run
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Definitely south at 63, Low is down on the panhandle. a hair slower as well
