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Sernest14

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Everything posted by Sernest14

  1. Power flickering- Roughly .25” at the moment. The crunching sounds are great
  2. Driveway and walkway ice seems to have washed away
  3. Roads look ok but they also get heavy traffic. Also won’t be able to really see it but wouldn’t risk going out anywhere. It’s only just starting and getting worse
  4. Different type of outage than just a transformer blowing. Poles and lines will be down and that takes a lot more time for repair
  5. Moved my car back in driveway away from roof line. Had it in park letting the windshield melt and started sliding down driveway- not too bad a grade either. We’ve barely started this storm too- stay safe all!
  6. super slick out - already have a solid coat everywhere - driveway is an ice rink
  7. Definitely odd seeing it take that turn all of a sudden. Precip will be there. Just a matter of temps at surface- either way, we’ll likely be frozen and it’ll get ugly
  8. HRRR now scattered tonight until true start of 4am - coming in earlier by 2-3 hours. The predawn could start could set the tone NAM with a 5am start through 5 pm. RGEM with a midnight start going through 7/8 pm - heavy precip in the morning around 9am
  9. even temps at 32- the surface temps with the snow have to be below freezing - instant freeze i would think
  10. Also, anyone know ratios for ice or is it a 1:1 to liquid
  11. Anyone know what DT is talking about saying that short range models are just showing light precip? From what I’m seeing, RGEM/NAM/HRRR all show moderate+ levels for an extended period of time
  12. Just be sure to shake today and not tomorrow
  13. Yeah definitely - trees are already heavily leaning here - looks like gusts are 8-10 from checking a few different places. asking in the main group for what models show though
  14. How do winds look on the models? From basic forecasts they are showing less than 5 with gusts to 10.
  15. Just checked winds and they seem to be minimal - less than 5 mph - maybe gusts up to 10-15 I would guess so that is good
  16. HRRR gives about 15 hours of moderate to heavy ice starting about 6am
  17. Right at 5.5” here in Ashland and now 1/2” of ice on the way tomorrow. Could get ugly
  18. This band has been nice- 1” rates for the last 2+ hours and looks to be about an hour left. 4.75” at the moment
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