Jump to content

Sernest14

Members
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    340

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Everything posted by Sernest14

  1. Sernest14
    Para actually looks better this run and has been one to be going back on forth a bit (at least for us):
  2. Sernest14
    and most of the above for our area is overnight tonight
  3. Sernest14
    Yeah for Sun/Monday - essentially ends precipitation Sunday evening 7pm with just about all rain.
  4. Sernest14
    Great run for SWVA - bad for most everyone else compared to all other models/previous runs
  5. Sernest14
    Ooof - 18Z GFS is baaad
  6. Sernest14
    18z GFS looks quicker (not by much at all but low is in OK) and more weak through 60 compared to 12z Euro
  7. Sernest14
    Gives 2", the precip field on radar is more amped than any models are showing too - but good ole radar hallucinations - do think we get an inch or 2 out of this system though
  8. Sernest14
    You also have 1 member that is far NW Ohio with the L that is probably pulling the OP placement west more than it will be (wishful thinking)
  9. Sernest14
    The ENS low placements are pretty solid. A number of them right where we need with a few outliers both ways. Only a handful are really where the OP shows or more west.
  10. Sernest14
    snow depth goes form 6.5" to 2"
  11. Sernest14
    Through 132 Euro looks good - need to have that low east of OBX and not come up the bay though like it just did. Still 6" before the flip to rain then back to mix/snow later Monday.
  12. Sernest14
    It has been through Ohio but more so talking about the coastal low that i feel as been jumping around.
  13. Sernest14
    mostly a 2-3" storm for 95 and points ~50 miles west. Half of total QPF is rain/mix
  14. Sernest14
    well that run was a disaster. good thing it's been all over the place and hasn't really had any consistently.
  15. Sernest14
    coastal system radar looks to be expanded more north than models depicted so hoping that is more favorable to get us some flakes
  16. Sernest14
    Another solid uk and euro run Won’t let me post maps but ~7” on us and 13.5” euro
  17. Sernest14
    Trending towards the euro though so that’s good (for Sunday/Monday). See what uk and euro look like for 00z- hopefully they hold
  18. Sernest14
    Wow Still 12-18 hours left of snow with that and in the comma head for the last bit as well
  19. Sernest14
    I feel like that is one of those find the differences comparisons- identical through 90
  20. Sernest14
    Cold should be in place- very little rain IMO the way things look and have been trending unless you’re Hampton roads/va beach
  21. Sernest14
    .1” haha- get the roads treated
  22. Sernest14
    NAM is completely dry for Thursday for all of VA. GFS comes back a little north but looks to be very light and brief - better than 12z though
  23. Sernest14
    radar so far so good - not sure if anything is actually making it to the surface but should be a good sign to at least see some flakes *fingers crossed* Comparing to the HRRR - looks like that has had a good feel for this which did bring some light stuff into the area.
  24. Sernest14
    the low in Maine on the 18z 12k NAM is weaker and precipitation stays a little more together which allows for an inch or 2 in and around richmond. 18Z 3K has the stronger low more quickly and stops anything from getting close to us.
  25. Sernest14
    Need this storm to move just a hair quicker and beat the low coming down into Maine
×
×
  • Create New...