Sernest14
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Everything posted by Sernest14
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super slick out - already have a solid coat everywhere - driveway is an ice rink
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Beers ok right?
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Definitely odd seeing it take that turn all of a sudden. Precip will be there. Just a matter of temps at surface- either way, we’ll likely be frozen and it’ll get ugly
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HRRR now scattered tonight until true start of 4am - coming in earlier by 2-3 hours. The predawn could start could set the tone NAM with a 5am start through 5 pm. RGEM with a midnight start going through 7/8 pm - heavy precip in the morning around 9am
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even temps at 32- the surface temps with the snow have to be below freezing - instant freeze i would think
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Ice Storm Warning Issued
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Also, anyone know ratios for ice or is it a 1:1 to liquid
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Anyone know what DT is talking about saying that short range models are just showing light precip? From what I’m seeing, RGEM/NAM/HRRR all show moderate+ levels for an extended period of time
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Just be sure to shake today and not tomorrow
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Yeah definitely - trees are already heavily leaning here - looks like gusts are 8-10 from checking a few different places. asking in the main group for what models show though
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How do winds look on the models? From basic forecasts they are showing less than 5 with gusts to 10.
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Just checked winds and they seem to be minimal - less than 5 mph - maybe gusts up to 10-15 I would guess so that is good
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HRRR gives about 15 hours of moderate to heavy ice starting about 6am
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Right at 5.5” here in Ashland and now 1/2” of ice on the way tomorrow. Could get ugly
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Here’s what locals were showing this morning
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Good little storm! Ended up with about 5.5”
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This band has been nice- 1” rates for the last 2+ hours and looks to be about an hour left. 4.75” at the moment
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4.75” , looks like we’ll stay in this band for another 45 to an hour
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Sitting right around 4” now. Good rates still and looks to continue for at least an hour with same rates based off radar. Should hit 5” easily
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Sitting right around 4” now. Good rates still and looks to continue for at least an hour with same rates based off radar. Should hit 5” easily
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HRRR remaining snowfall
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Sitting at ~3” (measures on patio furniture) in Ashland (just north of richmond). Good returns coming through now- models show solid through 3am 63480196309__BB89D01F-C887-4E49-BAFC-331287B5F1B5.MOV
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That should be coming soon- hard to tell from radar with Blacksburg down
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Should be from about 1-3 or 4. Dark blues setup for a couple hours it looks like
