Sernest14
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Everything posted by Sernest14
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May get to the 5-6” mark if we can keep these rates going. Some of the best stuff is still yet to come per models
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Sitting at about 2.75” right now - measuring on patio furniture
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Radar down in Blacksburg so they aren’t capturing from what I understand
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Turned back over to heavy sleet/snow- guessing with the lighter shield coming through
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HRRR shows the dry slot filling up quickly
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Models show it filling but that is concerning. No model has it that deep or close to us
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Roads covered now
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Photo upload sucks on this site lol- keeps saying over 1.95 mb even when using the photo/video feature on post
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Pouring snow now - most everything is caving. Driveway and sidewalk- don’t think roads are far behind if it stays at this clip a bit longer
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Play area, roofs, furniture caving
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Caved to mostly snow with light sleet mixed in pretty quickly
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Rain/snow mix just started
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Saw on DTs post from someone in goochland with heavy snow with deck and grass covered as of 4:18
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Starting to fill in more- guessing we’ll see more flit around sunset to a mix/snow
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Starting to get a nice little glaze on some surfaces so hopefully helps with snow sticking more quickly when that starts
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Still mixing with sleet here - comes and goes with how heavy it's mixed in but it's at least staying
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Like the blues filling in on the radar
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Sleet mixed in with this rain coming through in Ashland. @ 36
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NAM shows wintry precip starting at 6 compared to HRRR showing at 4.
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Can we go ahead and lock in the HRRR kuchera ratios?
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Need that cold air to come in just a hair more quickly and we could have a nice snowfall
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Ha! Glad it wasn’t just my eyes playing tricks
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Not sure if it means anything but the NAM has the cooler air down more into Kentucky/TN/SwVA at 18z tomorrow compared to the last 3 runs with the precip field more filled in. Hoping that means the cooling is coming in a little more quick
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Can't get a good gauge on 12k vs 3k - seems like 3k has been underdone with past so may be a good blend between the 2? anyone notice anything different between the 2 with past storms?
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Huggin the hell out of the RGEM - still gives us 5-8"
