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Sernest14

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Everything posted by Sernest14

  1. Sernest14
    Sitting about 1.5" right now (measured on car).
  2. Sernest14
    Been showing 2+ degrees cooler than models. At 41 now with NAM showing 44 Now 40 compared to the 44 modeled
  3. Sernest14
    4-5am looks to be the heavy band coming in- may need to set the alarm clock
  4. Sernest14
    Not a drop here yet
  5. Sernest14
    46 in Ashland - about 2 degrees colder than NAM had us at this point. Hopefully a good sign to allow more snow than rain
  6. Sernest14
    Thankfully this is happening overnight - 3K NAM still gives some good totals - about 3-5 on a 7:1 Will likely be heavy wet snow with huge flakes which is always fun - kind of reminds me of the March storm back in '15 I think it was where we got 4 inches of that stuff but it was gone just like that.
  7. Sernest14
    Euro held strong
  8. Sernest14
    nice hit for the Euro! Not a whole lot of room for error though
  9. Sernest14
    Next weekend there looks to be something with the models. Euro is a little slower and has the cold air I. Place more so than GFS a day earlier
  10. Sernest14
    Looks like a good shot on 2/6-2/7 GFS moves quicker with this system to come through 2/6, Euro 2/7. love the setup look for the euro though
  11. Sernest14
    Euro shows something around the same time frame from what I see. Looks 24 hours delayed though coming through on 2/7 vs 2/6 (GFS)
  12. Sernest14
    That storm totals or additional from now?
  13. Sernest14
    Would have like a bit more- doesn’t seem to be making it to the ground really now compared to what radar shows which I’m fine with as I’d rather not have rain. Good storm for the kiddos to play in though- will take it considering our last actual snow was December of 18 also depending on where you are, looks like it may be lighter as we’re on the edge of precip shield with how it’s moving so at least it won’t be rain to wash away this afternoon
  14. Sernest14
    It’s move north- radar isn’t catching it. Have had sleet and freezing rain for past 45 and I’m about 15 miles north or city
  15. Sernest14
    Anyone in short pump/west end? Looks like a heavy band coming through
  16. Sernest14
    Just started mixing with sleet in Ashland (30 miles south of Fredericksburg). At about 4.5”
  17. Sernest14
    And there’s the sleet Ended up right around 5.25” (grass measurement) - rechecked and 4.5” on patio
  18. Sernest14
    Still all snow in Ashland, hoping we don’t flip before this heavier batch comes through
  19. Sernest14
    HRRR showing another 3 around Richmond left and 4 Hanover so could push 5-7overall
  20. Sernest14
    Right at about 3” in Ashland
  21. Sernest14
    Snow line still south of VA. All short ranges had rain/mix line into va at this time already
  22. Sernest14
    NAM has more moisture filling in after the first wave compared to last few runs looks great through 15z so far
  23. Sernest14
    At 27 now (3-5 degrees lower than short range models depicted at 18z
  24. Sernest14
    Traffic cams show snow already coming down in Abingdon. Looks like nice stickage so far on grass and sides of 81
  25. Sernest14
    Took a step back- 4-6” down from 8” at 0z
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