Sernest14
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Everything posted by Sernest14
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May be the greatest asshole but he’s also a great met
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3k NAM gives 1-2+” of ice up the blue ridge
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Nothings on top of each other in your screenshot? The purple shows that there will also be icing in these areas. But on that note, no idea how that much snow drops if they’re also get ice as well
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Agreed - anyone have 20:1 maps?
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curious on how well the HRRR generally does?
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Looks in the same spot as 18z at 48
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good news with the models is it's a brief transition to rain followed by dry slot so we get the initial 3-5/6" thump and brief rain.
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We've already beat last year haven't we? didn't we get less than 1.5" last year? Nevermind - that was Winter 19/20
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NAM does seem to trend warmer so that's a plus??
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NAM just showed this more so than others have with a lot of VA getting into Sleet/Freezing Rain.
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Nam 18z, Euro 12z and GFS 12z all virtually the same through 36
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81 special; huge cutoff up 95
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deleted - flipped on me to previous run
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Definitely south at 63, Low is down on the panhandle. a hair slower as well
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GFS looks very similar to NAM at 27 & 42 minus the H in the PNW
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sorry for being ignorant to this but if the system happens to be slower as the NAM is depicting - would this reduce the level of N/NW movement and allow it to run on a more ENE trajectory?
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Down to 41- was at 51 2 hours ago. Didn’t think we were supposed to hit this until 10-11 or so
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The latest HRRR shows current Low a bit further SE than the last 10 runs - should be good right?
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His last call seemed pretty reasonable- a little under in the 6-8 isolated but not sure how just north and west of dc fared?
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How’d folks do in and around the city?
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Looks like after this little band we’re about done.
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Just passed 5” in grassy areas now. .5” pickup in 25 min
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Up to 4.5” now. This band is putting it down good
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Compaction is killing depth
