Sernest14
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Everything posted by Sernest14
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We've already beat last year haven't we? didn't we get less than 1.5" last year? Nevermind - that was Winter 19/20
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NAM does seem to trend warmer so that's a plus??
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NAM just showed this more so than others have with a lot of VA getting into Sleet/Freezing Rain.
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Nam 18z, Euro 12z and GFS 12z all virtually the same through 36
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81 special; huge cutoff up 95
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deleted - flipped on me to previous run
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Definitely south at 63, Low is down on the panhandle. a hair slower as well
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GFS looks very similar to NAM at 27 & 42 minus the H in the PNW
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sorry for being ignorant to this but if the system happens to be slower as the NAM is depicting - would this reduce the level of N/NW movement and allow it to run on a more ENE trajectory?
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Down to 41- was at 51 2 hours ago. Didn’t think we were supposed to hit this until 10-11 or so
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The latest HRRR shows current Low a bit further SE than the last 10 runs - should be good right?
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His last call seemed pretty reasonable- a little under in the 6-8 isolated but not sure how just north and west of dc fared?
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How’d folks do in and around the city?
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Looks like after this little band we’re about done.
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Just passed 5” in grassy areas now. .5” pickup in 25 min
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Up to 4.5” now. This band is putting it down good
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Compaction is killing depth
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First measurement (grass) 3.25” about 30 min ago. Other hard surfaces about 2”
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Power back on for now. Still nice gusts with light/moderate
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Has been moderate all snow for the past hour or so just north in Ashland
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How do y’all upload pics? I keep getting file too large error
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Woke up to no power and covered everything in sleet/snow. Wasn’t expecting it like this until a few more hours
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Assuming he’s talking ratios in terms of more compaction and on the heavy/wet side which would likely drop it to more of a 6:1-8:1
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HRRR trending wetter and longer duration. .2-.25” for the AM ending around noon
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Looks like the NAM lost that 2nd batch - HRRR does show lighter (.08")
