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Weather Will

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Everything posted by Weather Will

  1. Split the difference between the WB 0Z EPS and the control and we get a nice hit on Day 5.
  2. Showing this because it really personifies our winter season…WB Euro 0Z control
  3. WB 18Z EPS…850s good, surface little warm but maybe ok if precipitation heavy enough.
  4. Let’s see if the percentages hold/ improve as we go through this week. Then the confidence level will increase. We all get too excited over a couple of good runs. Cautiously optimistic.
  5. Just trying to keep it real….I know, lot of head fakes this year! Actually busy day at work and it was a little hard to follow the thread. Should say Wave one maps.
  6. WB 12Z globals next 5 days. Nothing to get excited about yet.
  7. I hope we are all not disappointed by the 24th, cautiously optimistic for at least a covering of snow. With a little luck we could get a 6 plus storm out of this pattern.
  8. WB 6Z GEFS….nice 24 hour trends in snow mean. Hopefully, it continues to increase as we go through this work week, no time left for another head fake. All chips in for the final furlong of winter!
  9. Interesting run on EURO for Wave 2 early next week. Very close to a big hit.
  10. Abysmal WB 18Z GEFS for the next 10 days. Most hyped pattern change ever for DMV. Congratulations to Northern PA Northwards.
  11. Take the GEFS longitude and intensity and the GEPS latitude and we have a winner for wave 1. (WB 12Z).
  12. Putting all my chips on the week of the 20th Hail Mary storm
  13. We know how this is likely to play out…wave 1 goes just to our north but is intense enough to squash wave 2.
  14. I thought that the control mimics the global at this range. I guess we will find out this afternoon.
  15. In general, my hope was that by early this week we would have locked in on a specific threat supported by more than one model. That has not happened, maybe by this weekend.
  16. Congratulations N.E, on storm 2. The DMV pattern change is from partly sunny to partly cloudy.
  17. Wave 1 is a bust, let’s see what wave 2 will do…another Great Lakes low..,
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