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Weather Will

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Everything posted by Weather Will

  1. Weather Will
    Wintry morning on the train into DC from Brunswick, heavy frost, fog near the Potomac, and 27 degrees.
  2. Weather Will
    18Z GEFS has storm 1. Then it shifts trough to West.
  3. Weather Will
    WB 18Z GFS.....Storm 1, 2, 3.... signs of Nino....welcome rains hopefully on the way the next 2 weeks.
  4. Weather Will
    WB latest EURO weekly....no torch for Christmas week yet....
  5. Weather Will
    OZ for the 11th is coming out now, already looks different for end of November. Still running.
  6. Weather Will
    Get it inside 15 days and I will
  7. Weather Will
    WB latest EURO weekly for Christmas week, not a torch...
  8. Weather Will
    Dreaming of a White Thanksgiving? WB 6Z GFS
  9. Weather Will
    By late Thursday, Anchorage had a 21-inch snow depth, or the total amount of snow on the ground. This was Anchorage's greatest snow depth for so early in the season, according to Alaska-based climatologist Brian Brettschneider. Already, 26.6 inches of snow has fallen in Anchorage this season, which is 17.5 inches above the average snowfall to date for Nov. 9. ( first blizzard warning of season.)
  10. Weather Will
    Since it is a slow week ahead, will post the latest WB EURO control for December which is perfectly acceptable.
  11. Weather Will
    Teleconnections are not good the next two weeks. Hopefully we see improvement as we head into December. Until I see a sustained + PNA and a -AO, I am in standby mode for any winter weather. To the point where I just want precipitation. Next 2 weeks remain dry.
  12. Weather Will
    But unless I am not following correctly, a lower MEI is a good thing, if we had an MEI that corresponded to a strong El Niño, the analog years are not good. The El Niño analog years with a lower MEI are much better.
  13. Weather Will
    WB 0Z EPS does show about 30% of members that are normal to chilly leading up to Thanksgiving... something to watch while it is dry and boring...
  14. Weather Will
    If we were getting N'easters now, the gripe would be "if this were only a month later".... Anyway, if we get to late December with no pattern change in site then I will start to worry, but even then the seasonals say February will be the best month. No model has shown a strong signal for a cold and wintry November or December. Edit: maybe the JMA likes Dec.
  15. Weather Will
    WB latest EURO weeklies, does not look like a torch at least leading up to Christmas...have a good week!
  16. Weather Will
    Potential for a good year is falling into place, but it will be a wild ride of model watching- look at the GFS temperature differences in the long range between WB 6Z and 12Z. In central NC about a 40 degree swing in one run....
  17. Weather Will
    WB EURO seasonal Nov. release....January and February look pretty good to me....
  18. Weather Will
    WB 6Z GEFS temp anomalies, 17% run cold, let's see how it trends over the next week...
  19. Weather Will
    A positive PNA opens the door for cold air delivery, but the other indices are not favorable at least not yet. It is a good sign that the PNA wants to pop positive. Positive PNA was nonexistent last year and when it is strongly negative we learned the other indices really don't matter.
  20. Weather Will
    WB 0Z EPS teleconnections. No strong signals here, except I like the trend toward a positive PNA toward end of run around the 16th.
  21. Weather Will
    I like seeing snow cover building in our cold source regions to the North in the weeklies, that is good to see.
  22. Weather Will
    WB latest EURO weeklies, look pretty good to me as we end the third week of December....
  23. Weather Will
  24. Weather Will
    WB Can. for February this month compared to last month. More ridging in Western Can. Less trough in East. Does it mean anything? Tell you in March.
  25. Weather Will
    Chilly walk to my office from Union Station DC. Leaves blowing everywhere. Definitely fall-like.
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