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Weather Will

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Everything posted by Weather Will

  1. If the GEFS has a discrete threat it is being very discreet about it....
  2. In an attempt to lighten the mood, fantasy range WB GFS 18Z northern plains windchills, first time I have seen this in forever....hint of things to come?????
  3. I'm all in for the Jan. 6-10th, let's see if it trends in the right direction as we head towards the NY.
  4. The stratwarm has been the most annoying thing about this pattern change. JB talked about it reloading. Where was the first load? I am skeptical that it will do anything.
  5. It is an operational run in fantasy land beyond Day 10, but there is no cold air....compared to yesterday's 12Z run. Zonal flow in Canada, no cold air moving south. Big disappointment if correct.
  6. WB 12Z 3K NAM. Nice rain for the drought.....
  7. Long range models did a good job this year. We can quibble about the exact transition date, but a colder and stormier pattern appears to be on its way. Will we get a decent snowstorm or two? Hope so, there are definitely some players on the table. And the entire month at least appears to have potential. WB XMAS EURO weeklies; February is also looking good through Day 8.
  8. WB 18Z GEFS time around Jan. 5th still looks good.
  9. WB 12Z 12K NAM, another midweek drought denting soaker incoming.
  10. Merry Christmas everyone! Cold and dry or warm and wet, we will be here to analyze, watch, and wait for those rare Christmas snow miracles. I wish you and your families a 2024 full of health, peace and happiness. Someone should start a new thread soon....
  11. WB 3K NAM, if temp stays below 50 today I will call it a win..
  12. I can't make this stuff up for day 10-15. WB 18Z GEFS.
  13. WB 18Z GEFS says go to the mountains if you want snow the next 10 days in the mid Atlantic.
  14. But don't we lose the PNA? Where is the cold air?
  15. Opinion at the end of the GEFS run? Does not look good to me.
  16. Latest MJO. After going through 1-2 heads back into null phase rather than the torch phases.
  17. WB 6Z GFS...Day 6, congrats higher elevations!
  18. Talk about temperature busts, most tv Mets were calling for upper 50s on Christmas, looks a lot cooler on WB 0Z 3K NAM.
  19. Last one. From Dec. 16th Still seeing consistent indications on the ens means for a coastal storm in the 27-29th window. Last 2 runs of the GEFS have a pretty decent signal for frozen in the MA, esp inland with temps expected to be marginal. I am not a meteorologist, but I am a lawyer, I don't make up facts.
  20. From Dec. 15th. GEFS continues to look good for Christmas week. now we have BN heights beforehand as well as AN heights poking towards Greenland
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