Weather Will
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Everything posted by Weather Will
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10 am Friday
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Day 6
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WB 6Z GEFS Day 5.5
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Let’s wait for the 6Z GEFS before judging the 6Z. We are still in ensemble wheelhouse range,
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WB 6Z GFS….weird run with sloppy late phase to coastal. But still in the game.
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It will be interesting to see which one folds…
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True but look at GFS v EURO same time
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Yup….not a torch. Look, it may be wrong but the guidance I have reviewed does not indicate a prolonged January thaw or that winter is over after the holidays.
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Here is the WB EURO weeklies.
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Not true: JMA, GEFS extended, EURO weeklies, CFSV2 all show a reload in January.
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I've seen the gefs change on a dime when the op model does. Consistency does not mean right When the GFS had its bad 12Z run, the low pressure tracks did not all shift west.
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The GEFS should be in its wheelhouse range at Day 7ish. It is an impressive mean.
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I would call it a winter if that verifies.
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WB 0Z GEFS: definitely not a trend for heaviest snows to the west yet.
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Best GEFS run yet…
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1pm
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7 am
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GEFS low track mean does not trend west this run…at 18Z
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WB 0Z GEFS
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WB 18Z EURO
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Looking at the WB 18Z GEFS pressure and clown maps I will not give up yet.
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7am
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4am
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Early Friday
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Day 6
