Weather Will

NWS statements: flooding and wind FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING... * WHAT...Flooding caused by excessive rainfall is possible. * WHERE...Portions of DC, including the following , District of Columbia, Maryland, including the following areas, Anne Arundel, Calvert, Carroll, Cecil, Central and Southeast Howard, Central and Southeast Montgomery, Charles, Frederick MD, Northern Baltimore, Northwest Harford, Northwest Howard, Northwest Montgomery, Prince Georges, Southeast Harford, Southern Baltimore, St. Marys and Washington, Virginia, including the following areas, Albemarle, Arlington/Falls Church/Alexandria, Augusta, Central Virginia Blue Ridge, Central and Southeast Prince William/Manassas/Manassas Park, Clarke, Culpeper, Eastern Loudoun, Fairfax, Frederick VA, Greene, King George, Madison, Nelson, Northern Fauquier, Northern Virginia Blue Ridge, Northwest Prince William, Orange, Page, Rappahannock, Rockingham, Shenandoah, Southern Fauquier, Spotsylvania, Stafford, Warren and Western Loudoun, and panhandle West Virginia, including the following areas, Berkeley, Jefferson and Morgan. * WHEN...From Tuesday afternoon through Wednesday morning. * IMPACTS...Excessive runoff may result in flooding of rivers, creeks, streams, and other low-lying and flood-prone locations. Creeks and streams may rise out of their banks. Flooding may occur in poor drainage and urban areas. Low-water crossings may be flooded. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS... - A period of moderate to heavy rain is likely to overspread the area Tuesday afternoon and evening. Rainfall totals of two to three inches expected with localized amounts up to four inches possible. - Please visit weather.gov/safety/flood for flood safety and preparedness information ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM TUESDAY TO 1 AM EST WEDNESDAY... * WHAT...Southeast winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 50 to 55 mph expected. * WHERE...Portions of central, north central, northeast, northern and southern Maryland, The District of Columbia and central and northern Virginia. * WHEN...From 3 PM Tuesday to 1 AM EST Wednesday. * IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects.

WB 6Z NAM worst of the rain looks like it hits around 9pm east of mountains but windy almost all day Tuesday. Damaging winds i would think are most likely with that heavy rain band.

WB 18Z 3K NAM big rain and wind still on track..

Looks like we need to be worried more about suppression on the GEFS than a cutter for the 16th.

WB 18Z GEFS

Well the WB 18Z GEFS looks a lot better than the GFS

Being very practical about it to keep my hopes in check. The chance of snow the next 7 days is slim to none. Let's see what the models are showing for the week of the 14th by next weekend.

I hope something pans out by the 20th, but at least one fly in the ointment is the MJO. Unfortunately, the EURO keeps trending toward a more amplified wave into 4 and 5 like the GEFS.

WB 6Z EURO; sorry edited for just Tuesday.

Maybe a little snow in the mountains at onset of Precip.

Might as well track the rain and wind event on our door step...winds are crazy!!!! Power outages and flooding possible.

As you get older, more than half the fun is the tracking, last year was horribly boring. At least this year beats last year in the number of storms and we are putting a significant dent in our drought.

Buckle up everyone, it's over in about 10 weeks, no time to rest, you can sleep in April and May before the forecasted active hurricane season.

WB 12Z EURO today compared to next Saturday, colder look.

Looks different from this weekend, with more cold air to work with. But we really need the Tuesday rain storm to clear the field first.

WB 12Z EURO next weekend. Day 7

Underperformer in Brunswick. Maybe a half inch of sleet/snow. Just light sleet falling now.

Sidewalks covered with light snow continuing.

You kept the thread together! Put the sword back in the sheath!!!!!

WDVM DC Now station doing a great job now casting.

Transitioned to light snow in Brunswick. Roads ( my neighborhood pretreats) are just wet.

30, light sleet few flakes. Rooftops and mulch whitening.

WB 0Z EURO

WB 0Z 3K NAM its best run yet.

WB 18Z EURO