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Weather Will

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Everything posted by Weather Will

  1. 10 am Sat mean. We are in the game for another 6 hours,
  2. WB 18Z GFS…. Very unusual evolution. Will be interesting to see how this plays out…
  3. WB 12Z EPS today v. yesterday. This is not the first time it has done this….
  4. Look at the Atlantic between EPS and GEFS. The track of the lies us very similar….sorry this is beyond me, models are all over the place.
  5. WB 12Z EURO 1am Friday, compared to 12Z yesterday.
  6. WB 12Z EURO has it figured out all right….what is bad about the EURO is its complete lack of cold air/confluence. If that is correct, the track does not matter.
  7. I fall for this too, but as we keep saying OPS outside 5 days may give hints of macro weather: stormy, mild, cold etc. but not specifics. If the EURO showed a blizzard this run it would be fools gold for 6 hours…
  8. Now who is bargaining…. interesting that P30 has the best handle on the early week storm. Not sure that means anything.
  9. WB 12Z GEFS keeps us in the game. But it looks like with a marginal air mass we either get a HECS or BUST.
  10. The latest EURO weeklies also like the early to mid February period. Meaning colder air forecasted to be in place and above normal precipitation.
  11. It’s too soon to give up. 6Z GEFS is an improvement over 0Z.
  12. I may have no idea what I am talking about, but looking at the WB 6Z GFS pressure maps you can see that the model is trying to consolidate the low to the coast but it takes too long for our latitude. Still need to see how this plays out. With marginal cold air we need an earlier consolidated transfer to the coast.
  13. WB 6Z GEFS is colder. But there are more lows to the west this run that look like they transfer to the coast,
  14. Comparing WB OZ v 12Z through Th. I don’t think this will be a good run. Much warmer. Hopefully EPS will still be positive. Good night.
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