Weather Will
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Everything posted by Weather Will
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WB 18Z GEFS still advertises an improving pattern and progressively colder air as we approach mid month.
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WB 17 GEFS Friday precip.
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WB 18Z GEFS not impressed with late week….
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They need to add Frederick….the local tv Mets from yesterday did a bad job with today’s weather….no mention of fog….
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Very poor visibility with rain and fog in the drive home from dinner between Frederick and Brunswick…Littje surprised no dense fog advisory in effect….
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WB 18Z CVSv2 has it below normal 30 day period January 13-February 12. The precip. For the entire period is high….we need some luck.
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WB Extended GEFS control for the 35 day period, yah, I know but this place has gotten so depressing…and you always must have hope as you get ready to start the New Year!
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Agreed, one decent storm would be great…
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WB extended GEFS- 7 day temp. departures at Days 10, 20, and 30. Really takes until the 7 day period ending about the 20th for areas along the east coast to go normal/ slightly below normal.
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WB GEFS extended control goes extreme and brings the cold and snow….honestly, no one knows what is going to happen mid to late January.
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WB latest extended GEFS… 7 day period ending on the 16th…
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Nice lunchtime walk, warm even with just a light jacket…
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WB 6Z GFS at Day 6 and 6Z Euro ensemble mean at Day 6, ( not much different) extrapolate at will…
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What is encouraging is that the end of the torch period is now under 10 days….specifics TBD.
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WB 6Z GFS for Jan 8 23.
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Hopefully we will have a discreet threat to track by the end of NEXT week….
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1/35 chance inside 9 days….18Z GEFS (1 also to the east, west and north).
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You take whatever crumbs we can get…this period is the only game in town the next couple of weeks.
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WB extended GEFS. 4 days ago the 7 day snow period ending on the 19th compared to latest run for the same period. Anomalies centered around the 10th for those that hate the snow maps….
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Latest WB 18Z GEFS is better for the January 10th period potential…. 12Z yesterday, the bad 12Z run today, and the latest.
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Never give up after one run!!!!
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WB 12Z GEFS, not a good run, basically says forget winter into mid January. Looking at individual members still about a third bringing colder air by mid month.
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Latest WB GEFS extended has lowest height anomalies centered around the 15th in the next 20 days. We then lose the eastern trough again so maybe only a brief window of opportunity in mid January.
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WB 6Z GEFS…for the fantasy land threat(s) at about day 13….but it is the only period to watch the next 2 weeks.
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The latest weeklies are not that impressive to my nonexpert eye…but they are not a torch after the first week of January. Seems like we will have a better handle on January after the torch period. Patience will be required. Not much happening the next 10 days unless you like mild and rainy weather.
