Weather Will

Special Weather Statement National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 835 PM EST Wed Nov 5 2025 DCZ001-MDZ003>006-008-011-013-014-016>018-503>508-VAZ028-030-031- 053-054-501-505-506-526-527-WVZ051>053-060530- District of Columbia-Washington-Frederick MD-Carroll- Northern Baltimore-Cecil-Southern Baltimore-Prince Georges- Anne Arundel-Charles-St. Marys-Calvert-Northwest Montgomery- Central and Southeast Montgomery-Northwest Howard- Central and Southeast Howard-Northwest Harford-Southeast Harford- Frederick VA-Warren-Clarke-Fairfax- Arlington/Falls Church/Alexandria-Northern Fauquier- Western Loudoun-Eastern Loudoun-Northwest Prince William- Central and Southeast Prince William/Manassas/Manassas Park- Morgan-Berkeley-Jefferson- Including the cities of Washington, Hagerstown, Frederick, Ballenger Creek, Eldersburg, Westminster, Reisterstown, Cockeysville, Elkton, Baltimore, Bowie, Suitland-Silver Hill, Clinton, College Park, Greenbelt, Laurel, Camp Springs, Glen Burnie, Annapolis, Severn, South Gate, Severna Park, Arnold, Odenton, St. Charles, Waldorf, Lexington Park, California, Chesapeake Beach, Huntingtown, Dunkirk, North Beach, Lusby, Prince Frederick, Germantown, Damascus, Bethesda, Rockville, Gaithersburg, Silver Spring, Lisbon, Columbia, Ellicott City, Jarrettsville, Aberdeen, Winchester, Front Royal, Berryville, Reston, Herndon, Annandale, Centreville, Chantilly, McLean, Franconia, Arlington, Alexandria, Falls Church, Warrenton, Purcellville, Leesburg, Ashburn, Sterling, Haymarket, Dale City, Manassas, Woodbridge, Lake Ridge, Montclair, Paw Paw, Martinsburg, Charles Town, and Shepherdstown 835 PM EST Wed Nov 5 2025 ...BRIEF SURGE OF STRONG WINDS... As a cold front sweeps across the area this evening, a surge of strong west-northwest winds will follow. The strongest gusts, potentially reaching 40 to 50 mph in spots, will generally last an hour or less at any given location. Even so, gusts of this magnitude are capable of blowing around lightweight objects, causing localized minor tree damage and power outages, and creating difficult driving conditions for high profile vehicles. The strong wind gusts will reach... The northern Shenandoah Valley and northern Maryland through 1000 PM... The Baltimore and Washington metropolitan areas between 930 PM and 1100 PM... Southern Maryland between 1030 PM and 1230 AM.

Strat warm talk... https://www.severe-weather.eu/global-weather/early-stratospheric-warming-event-polar-vortex-forecast-winter-2025-2026-united-states-canada-europe-fa/

WB latest EPS seasonal. Biggest, and significant cool down forecast compared to last month's run is January.

Latest EPS has a dry first half of November

Mid December still looks chilly on the latest Euro weeklies. Whether it is a week of chill or it has some staying power TBD. Precip. looks normal during this timeframe as well.

Leaf raking warning in effect. Perfect weather day to clean up a messy yard....

Detailed write up by DT. Like the preliminary forecast for severe winter weather conditions. https://wxrisk.com/wp-content/uploads/_pda/2025/10/winter2526A.pdf

Washington-Frederick MD-Carroll-Central and Eastern Allegany- Hampshire-Morgan-Berkeley-Hardy-Eastern Grant-Eastern Mineral- Eastern Pendleton- 208 PM EDT Thu Oct 30 2025 ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 5 PM EDT FRIDAY... * WHAT...West winds 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 45 mph expected. * WHERE...Portions of north central and western Maryland and eastern and panhandle West Virginia. * WHEN...From 10 AM to 5 PM EDT Friday. * IMPACTS...Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects. Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result.

Heavy rain with thunder...

For planning purposes, heaviest rains move in after sunset; looks like the morning rush will be a washout and the steady to heavy rain will move NE out of the area between late Th. Morning and mid afternoon.

WB 12Z models: rain incoming....no rug pull with this one.

WB 18Z 3K NAM; windy and stormy Th. am on tap.

WB 18Z NBM

WB 12Z globals. Solid 1-2 inches. Sold!

WB 12Z NBM: finally a storm without a rug pull?!

WB 18Z AI

WB 30 day Nov. 9 through Dec. 9 from the EPS weeklies. I think this November-December period could be different from last year. I mean, we saw no sustained cold air before mid/ late January last year. The mean looks pretty good and the control shows an extreme in a good way in the long range. At least we may have a chance of some snow before Christmas this year.

December is going to rock.... WB latest EPS control....

WB 6Z GFS compared to 0Z...let's see if it holds.

WB latest weeklies control first week of December....

WB 18Z GEFS still has some members with big amounts through the end of next work week.

WB 18Z GFS, EURO, and AI at Day 6.

WB 12Z GEFS through Day 9. Lots of hits.

WB 6Z GEFS has a few big hits; so we wait....

Things are getting serious again; you are posting WB maps!