Weather Will

Has GEFS been upgraded?

Got to smell the rain to get the best snows... I find the discussions informative and very useful. But you need a little luck which no model can forecast. In other words you don’t always get a blizzard in a great pattern and you don’t always get shut out in an overall crap pattern. No big storms over the next seven days seems pretty certain. By next weekend, hopefully there will be something to track...

WB 18Z GEFS couple of big hits toward the end of the period. No sign of suppression on these maps.

NWS just issued for NW zones MDZ003-004-VAZ027-028-030-031-040-501-505-WVZ050>053-055-011100- /O.NEW.KLWX.WW.Y.0018.210101T1500Z-210102T0600Z/ Washington-Frederick MD-Shenandoah-Frederick VA-Warren-Clarke- Rappahannock-Northern Fauquier-Western Loudoun-Hampshire-Morgan- Berkeley-Jefferson-Hardy- 1231 PM EST Thu Dec 31 2020 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM FRIDAY TO 1 AM EST SATURDAY... * WHAT...Freezing rain expected. Total ice accumulations of up to two tenths of an inch, with the highest amounts in the higher elevations. A small accumulation of snow and sleet is also possible at the onset. * WHERE...Portions of north central Maryland, northern and northwest Virginia and eastern West Virginia. * WHEN...From 10 AM Friday to 1 AM EST Saturday. Freezing rain, possibly mixed with snow and sleet at the start, will move into the area Friday midday and then gradually change to rain Friday afternoon and evening. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous conditions could impact the evening commute.

WB GFS Day 12....hopefully sign of things to come for January. I actually am very satisfied with December. Close to 8 inches and chilly. Wish everyone a healthy and happy New Year!

WB 18Z GEFS....will be interesting to watch the trends over the next two weeks...

WB 18Z GEFS . 19 would make the northern third happy for Sunday.

Patience....if it can still snow in South Texas it can still snow in the DMV. WB EURO for Friday.

WB 12Z EPS...throws us all a bone. One Member likes Sunday...

WB 12Z EURO for Sunday...pattern still favors interior PA and central NY. Hopefully, will shift south as we go through January.

Two big hits, one moderate hit 18Z GEFS, let’s see if those 10 percent odds improve over the next week...

Snow flurries in Brunswick. Merry Christmas!

WB 12Z NAM.

WB 12Z NAM....cold front heading east of I95 at 4am Christmas Day.

WB 18Z GEFS does not look as negative as the last several pages of this forum...

We had our chance, sun angle issues start next week...

I have zero expectations for more snow before Christmas but the models have not figured it out yet....compare WB 0z EURO to 12Z Friday 1 am.

WB 12Z EURO now in line with GFS with arrival of cold on Christmas.

Big story this week will be the single digit wind chills on Christmas. Not a torch!!! 12Z WB GFS.

WB 6Z GEFS really still likes period between Christmas and early 2021...

WB 6Z GEFS for Christmas

WB 18Z GEFS. Continues to be bullish on period after Christmas through early 2021...

WB GEFS through Christmas. Mean not impressive but there is still hope for a Christmas miracle.

WB 12Z EPS. Most of this is after Christmas.