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Weather Will

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Everything posted by Weather Will

  1. Weather Will
    12k is slightly warmer DC South. Banding appears more NW of DC this run. .3 to .4 total precip. rather than up to .7.
  2. Weather Will
    Yes.
  3. Weather Will
    Setting aside my Weather Bible for the moment, EPS low locations don't look bad for Sunday/Monday. Biggest clusters between NGA and WTN. Sunday. By Monday early am there is a large cluster near SE VA and another further out to sea. On the other hand, only a few members showing a snowy hit NW of DC.
  4. Weather Will
    I watched JB's video on WB today. he talks about warmer Atlantic waters and that the low should hug the coast. He does seem to be giving up on 95 corridor.
  5. Weather Will
    Bill Chapter 3, Verse 4.
  6. Weather Will
    No one but God knows what is going to happen. Thinking about it, if the models were reliable, this wouldn't be much of a hobby. You could just say look at the EURO, etc. So go old school and create your own map for Monday. It is just as good as any of these computer generated models.
  7. Weather Will
    We forget that normal highs are approaching 50 degrees my weather friends....we are still in the game.
  8. Weather Will
    Not wish casting but definitely still in the game: fact very cold air pressing in from the West on Sunday/Monday. If the timing of the low slows down 6-12 hours or if the cold air presses more than currently modeled we are going to see wintry precip. in the area. Fun to have things to track in late February/early March! Wasn't it yesterday that everything was being suppressed? Now we just need a 50-100 shift in 4 days?
  9. Weather Will
    We can hope the EURO is wrong again with this one! Let's see what it says 12z Friday. Outside of 48 hours none of the models know what is going on in this fast flow pattern.
  10. Weather Will
    EURO caving to the NAM...I'll be damned....and so will a lot of EURO hugging forecasters. EURO ain't what it used to be.
  11. Weather Will
    Weatherbell 3KNAM shows snow moving in between 11-midnight. Over between 4-5am. 850s south of DC during the entire event but heaviest band of snow through NVA and North Central MD. 3-5 inches verbatim. I would take it in a minute if it verifies. It has been really consistent---right or wrong.
  12. Weather Will
    Sorry I thought you could post non EURO maps from Weather Bell, but it appears not on second read.
  13. Weather Will
    Not all of this is snow DC south.
  14. Weather Will
    Agree that Friday and midweek have a least temporarily gone poof. Still seems to be a signal for a light to moderate event for Monday. My nonexpert eye would say about 20-25% of the members show 4 or more inches from DC N and W.
  15. Weather Will
    Bob is right....we are in the game for one more....just keep one eye on it until later this week....again easier said then done. I have moved from Greenbelt, to Bowie, to Ellicott City, and now to Brunswick. I moved for the family, not because of snow, but getting more snow is one of the fringe benefits of a long commute.
  16. Weather Will
  17. Weather Will
    12z ICON appears to have shifted the rain/snow line south in line with the NAM for what it is worth. An inch or two is an inch or two.....take what we can get on the first day of meteorological spring!
  18. Weather Will
    Overnight EPS looked good to me through Day 9. 4-5 inch mean across DC, all of MD. Control over a foot. Close to half of the members give us three or more inches. About 10 big hitters....keep in mind this is potentially from Friday, Monday, and the midweek big daddy.
  19. Weather Will
    The operational runs have been horrible...outside about three-four days all winter. IMHO.
  20. Weather Will
    I do understand the frustration, when you take an hour and a half train ride each way to work, you really note the sunrise/sunset times. First time I have noticed a hint of sunrise as I get on the train at 6am, and still a little sun as I approach home at 630. Spring is around the corner...but my gut says we are not quite done yet! Perhaps I am just an eternal optimist.
  21. Weather Will
    I stand corrected on the Icon, I looked only at both GFS and The Nam. Should have been more specific
  22. Weather Will
    With several hundred mile swings on both GFS for Friday, I would chill out for Monday and Wed....details to be determined....at least there are storms to track. It is not going to be mild the next week or so....chins up people come on!!!
  23. Weather Will
    Well looking at Friday, all of the 18z models appear to be trending colder, further south. 1-3 inches is nothing to scoff at on March 1. There would be some years that we would be yearning for it!!!
  24. Weather Will
    Thanks...I am not remembering that! Let's see if it will happen again!
  25. Weather Will
    Thanks! I can't remember it in my lifetime.
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