Snowcrazed71

The hardest part of seeing this is it is not impossible to get close to this. But odds are very low to see these numbers come from fruition

I would take the middle of the road between the NAM and Ryan's Map for my area. Damn.... Talk about being on your toes and nail biting. Lol

I can remember back in 2013 with that huge Storm we had ( I think Nemo ), the NAM was throwing out huge snow totals a few days before. I remember Joe Fury ( at the time on a different station ) mentioning it but not thinking that can happen, however, we wound up having those large snow totals that the NAM showed. So I guess it's possible for it to be right. One could hope, but I'm not banking on it.

But I'm guessing it's not happening as depicted.

I've succumbed to the fact that where I'm at in CT I am most likely to receive maybe 6". Could I get more? ( And there are models that show more where I'm at ) sure, but I think the set up is such that the likely hood is less than stellar of receiving more. If only we had a High to our north........ Still a fun storm to track ( but I am done myself with this Winter ). It has truly been a disappointment as far as Winter goes.

Going to be a tough night to go to sleep on Monday night. I'm just hoping when I get up real early that it's snowing. If not, that pit kind of comes in the stomach.....Wondering if we're going to get that change over quick enough lol. Now that's the definition of a weather weenie, and I'm there.

I'm in a weird spot. I don't consider me in the valley, but I'm not the Northwest hills. Those zones where it could go either way where? I'm located. Up at about 500 ft. I guess the possibility is there that it could be more, but also could be right where you have it. I have to say, this is an exciting storm, but a bit of a nail biter!

I'm a bit surprised that they only have two to four inches in the valley locations through Connecticut, and six to twelve inches the hills around. Seems very conservative to me

This is just what we wanted to see. Now . I won't if WSW's will finally be hosted for the rest of the area by morning? Is be surprised if not?

I'm guessing in not a good way?

We pray.

Just the bases be how much the bottles are going back and forth with big differences. Not like the typical windshield wiper effect. Every time I feel confident that it's going to be something good for us, the next runs come out and they're not as good, today. Today they seem to be better again. I will feel like it's a toss-up with all of these bottles. Like they don't have any clue. It's just odd to me.

This even has NYC in on the action. Not sure about that one ( sorry MJO ), but I'd love to be wrong

Whoa!! Has the Canadian ever led the way or come close to being correct within a few days?

Wasn't that not a bad run for our area though on the GFS?

Lol, I think I will do better up on the mountain here in Plainville. Then Kev will in Tolland with that latest map.

Glad to see that the 18Z Euro help take some people off the Cliff's edge. Still some figuring out to do, but as I said, tomorrow will have a much better idea of what will happen.

But some are taking the GFS run, and the NAM run like that's the final result.

Don't get discouraged man. I feel like this has been a yo-yo ride. But there's no definitive answer on what's going to happen yet. Today's models were so all over the place. There's just no way to say which way it's going to go. I wouldn't worry or rejoice until later tonight's model runs.

I know it seems like the models are a bit inconsistent with where the main low will track. I think you're seeing them this evening splitting the lows because it's not sure exactly where they'll consolidate. I'm still thinking around the elbow of the cape is a good spot, I don't think it's going to be that far east just as I don't think it's going to be going into Connecticut. I do think that the 00z runs tonight, and even 12Z tomorrow should let us know what's going to happen. After that. It's just a bit of wiggle here and there. I hope that the storm this time gives everybody but they were hoping for all winter. And it has that potential to do so!!!!

How's it looking map wise? Are we even in the zone of Reggie yet?

Sorry George, no disrespect but I hope it's wrong. I actually don't think it's right anyway

Do you really believe that this is the outcome? Lol.... I'm not saying 100% this is not going to happen, but I would say 85% that this is not happening this way

Has anybody posted the snow map for the 18Z NAM?

Oh no, they have to take down the winter storm watches that they just put up for all of upstate New York and Western Mass /Litchfield county ( if you believe the NAM that is ). ;-)