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SnowDreamer

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Everything posted by SnowDreamer

  1. SnowDreamer
    Very heavy rain and immediate flooding in the line passing through fairfax. Personal weather station showing 4.5”-5” per hour rates.
  2. SnowDreamer
    Tarmac caving now as well. My flight appears to still be leaving on time - good luck to you all tonight!
  3. SnowDreamer
    IAD has escalated to fuselage topper!
  4. SnowDreamer
    Moderate to Heavy snow at IAD now. Grassy areas beginning to cave but the tarmac is fine. So far cancellations are limited to flights to the blizzard zones.
  5. SnowDreamer
    Flakes mixing in now for Fairfax… back down to 37/35
  6. SnowDreamer
    Light rain, up 3 degrees since 9am in Fairfax 39/37
  7. SnowDreamer
    Methinks we’re gunna like the 12k NAM. The SLP gets pulled straight West nearly to the mouth of the Chesapeake between hours 30-33.
  8. SnowDreamer
    At hour 48 the mean MSLP is East of 18Z run, and looks to be almost exactly where the OP LP is. Backs up the OP
  9. SnowDreamer
    Talk about a nightmare forecast for Baltimore to New York City. 4-24”
  10. SnowDreamer
    Somebody who knows more about p-type outputs can expand/correct me, but there’s something funky about how pivotal and UKMET are interacting here. Here’s a sounding from 21Z in DC that looks a lot like snow to me, but the p-type map has it (and the next frame) as rain.
  11. SnowDreamer
    Ringing endorsement right here
  12. SnowDreamer
    Yeah, it’s a Norfolk special like the CMC. But at 12Z it was almost completely OTS. Progress
  13. SnowDreamer
    Ukie is worlds better than 12Z
  14. SnowDreamer
    This is my go-to, but it can often take up to a day to fully update after a storm. https://www.nohrsc.noaa.gov/interactive/html/map.html?var=snowfall_24_h&snap=1&bgvar=dem&shdvar=shading&o9=1&o13=1
  15. SnowDreamer
    For those of you that believe in the “wisdom of the crowd” for betting markets… People are putting money down on 7-9” for DC.
  16. SnowDreamer
    40/19 Got a good feeling about this one
  17. SnowDreamer
    12k NAMming in progress.
  18. SnowDreamer
    What is the best source for snow verification maps? I was planning to use this https://www.nohrsc.noaa.gov/interactive/, but it looks like an errant 21" reading around harrisonburg has messed that map up.
  19. SnowDreamer
    For my bingo card... do I get "virga", "radar hallucinations", or both for this?
  20. SnowDreamer
    UKIE is meh
  21. SnowDreamer
    QPF is just a bit better pretty much everywhere. trend = friend
  22. SnowDreamer
    Unsurprisingly, the GEFS mean is skewed by two HECS. I'll take P08 and call it a decade.
  23. SnowDreamer
    The fact that we are now posting MECS in the panic thread is telling. Tough times in Weenie-ville.
  24. SnowDreamer
    No threads until the 1” streak is broken. Desperate times call for desperate measures. EURO shows 20” in 24 hours? No thread.
  25. SnowDreamer
    Not that I'm not bummed, but we do sometimes get good trends. Jan 3rd 2022 was a late trend North which increased totals for many by a lot.
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