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SnowDreamer

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Everything posted by SnowDreamer

  1. Heavy line just hit me east of IAD. Absolutely POURING rain... weather station says .28” in the last 10 minutes.
  2. CMC, GFS, EURO all push that first low after Christmas farther south at 12Z compared to last night.
  3. Is this where someone says "Right where we want it for right now"...? Is that on the weenie bingo sheet?
  4. Trying to learn to read more than clown maps and skew-t charts here... can someone explain to me why this doesn’t pan out? 00z euro has a big block in the North Atlantic, closed ULL, and surface low tracking to our south. There’s tons of HP around that I feel like should force cold air down into the storm, and something kinda 50/50 ish(maybe a bit too far out to sea)? Looks not bad to me but verbatim we rain/zr.
  5. Anybody want to chase to that tiny 2” jackpot on Delmarva?
  6. I’m no expert, but we like the trend in tilt on the GFS for Christmas Eve, no?
  7. Just switched over to mostly sleet S of Springfield.
  8. Nope, GMT-5 right now. 1915 Z -> 1415 EST -> 2:15 PM Daylight savings makes it confusing sometimes.
  9. Should start to form tonight in northern MS, then move pretty much straight Northeast and strengthen in TN before it comes our way.
  10. Anybody else love the serenity of the ~20 minutes or so as a model run is coming out and nobody says anything? Everybody who's around is too busy looking at the outputs and all is calm on here.
  11. BWI: 20" DCA: 14" IAD: 20" RIC: 10" Tiebreaker SBY: 10"
  12. FWIW EURO Kuchera map looks much better for central VA. 00Z 12Z
  13. BWI: 5.1" DCA: 3.0" IAD: 4.2" RIC: 1.1" Tiebreaker: 1.21"
  14. Where can I find this output for FV3? It looks like NCEP MAG, but I don't see FV3 listed there. Thanks!
  15. Pivotal Weather has Kuchera ratios on some models. 3k NAM has DC at 19:1 at 7AM.
  16. Where can I find this info? I only see IAD 5.9" at 7:00 AM.
  17. SREF bumps precipitation again at 21Z... DCA Mean up to .81" QPF. Zero members below .25"
  18. That's liquid QPF falling as snow... 20mm= ~8 inches of snow
  19. Haven't seen this mentioned, but a really good look at the positive trend here in the SREF.
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