Jump to content

SnowDreamer

Members
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    451

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Everything posted by SnowDreamer

  1. SnowDreamer
    For sure
  2. SnowDreamer
    With respect to deform band - EPS has been pretty consistently trending stronger
  3. SnowDreamer
    Yes plz. We can have our little kumbaya circle together for the 00Z suite
  4. SnowDreamer
    QPF vs 12Z big bump for immediate DC and NOVA, tick N
  5. SnowDreamer
    Gunna be higher QPF for most than 12Z, esp DC. will post comparison when it's done
  6. SnowDreamer
    WAA thump-7p Sun
  7. SnowDreamer
    Cheers! I'm going with some crown royal and coke tonight.
  8. SnowDreamer
    Sorry, I didn’t quote the map because I was trying to reduce clutter for “storm mode”
  9. SnowDreamer
    It's not uncommon for their forecasts to give >50% chance to combined boom and bust scenarios. I've seen it many times on their site. Again, no hate for CWG. I love love them and I think they do a fantastic job. The percentages they put out for those booms and busts read wonky to me, that's all.
  10. SnowDreamer
    I'm not referring to their current forecast. I have no idea what their current forecast is.
  11. SnowDreamer
    I love CWG, and they were a big inspiration to me. That being said, when they give a forecast saying 30% bust and 30% boom chances... my takeaway is that they think their main forecast is more likely wrong than right.
  12. SnowDreamer
    LOL the Euro is now the worst model for MBY... That happened so fast.
  13. SnowDreamer
    That GEPS mean looks like every textbook I-95 MECS eta: map on previous page - trying to reduce clutter
  14. SnowDreamer
    You'll find that many reputable meteorologists (read: not DT) forecast notably below the snow total maps we post here. And FWIW, they have a good reason to do so. CWG is also more conservative than many
  15. SnowDreamer
    Yes, but at this range I'd be really concerned for the GFS if it didn't
  16. SnowDreamer
    Non-native speakers unanimously voted this was where they gave up on the English language.
  17. SnowDreamer
    Alright I got the one, you guys! GEPS 00Z member 19. 53" at DCA What's bigger than a BECS?
  18. SnowDreamer
    No the Euro hasn't been super consistent on the snow totals. But tbh I think the most consistent clown maps have come from the para. It certainly looks more consistent than the euro on these maps, but obviously the clown maps aren't the defining characteristic of consistency.
  19. SnowDreamer
    I think overall it's a good sign that people have been sweating on both sides of the coin recently. There was concern by many when Euro was spitting out those huge maxes in PA with lots less in NoVA. Still have a good 36 hours for things to shift before we really get into the short range.
  20. SnowDreamer
    I think consensus is that we all take the Ukie I'm still just thrilled at the likelihood of warning criteria tbh.. Which I would have to think is very very high atm.
  21. SnowDreamer
    This could be a really big run for metros. SLP not going anywhere at all from 80-90. Eta: gets pushed straight East after.
  22. SnowDreamer
    WAA definitely thumpier than 12Z or 18Z @ hour 72.
  23. SnowDreamer
    Ukie beatdown right through the heart of the forum. Abscond
  24. SnowDreamer
    I think that's the conclusion, yeah. If the thermals are indeed wrong, more snow and sleet, less rain. But honestly I'm just waiting for it to cave instead of trying to figure out how it's wrong.
  25. SnowDreamer
    friend?
×
×
  • Create New...