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SnowDreamer

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Everything posted by SnowDreamer

  1. NOAA Just updated interpolated obs through 00Z... Looks like forecasts won't bust that badly for most. Got me in ~3" which is accurate. I was expecting 4-8".
  2. That EPS mean is a REALLY nice improvement over 12 hours ago.
  3. Flakes suddenly mixing in with freezing drizzle and sleet. First flakes I've seen all day!
  4. Thank you. Just thank you. We need more content like this right now.
  5. Problem is there's no such thing as future radar. That's a model that takes its initial state and runs out some amount of time. Maybe some "future radars" pull their data from actual weather models, but many do NOT. In either case, if you want to use a model, use a real model. Many sites have simulated radar for NAM and other hi-res products.
  6. idk what "future radar" you're using, but there's a 99% chance it's total crap. Most apps/sites that use "future radar" are HORRIBLE.
  7. I think of it more like liquid equivalent. Heavy snow=more QPF. Flake size is related to a lot of things like temperature and lift and tends to be good in heavy snow, but it's just a different thing. than heavy/light IMO
  8. Aw come on! That ain’t right. I want my snow day. I got meetings all day tomorrow
  9. I’m not up on my history since I haven’t been tracking snow for that long, but I do know where to find the answer! It appears you are correct.
  10. Miller Bs are just complicated. Climatologically, they’re not the MOST successful for DC, but that’s neither here nor there. IMO Miller Bs have too many points of variance to be modeled as accurately as something like a clipper or a Miller A. (Although those do bust sometimes)
  11. There's a little somethin' somethin', but you know D7 means. It's there
  12. DCA just clinched the biggest snow in 2 years!.. With 1.4"
  13. Just for you. Can't capture the whole thing on Kuchera without contamination, so the old 10:1 is gunna have to do. Kuchera is more
  14. HELLO! Perfectly respectable MECS Miller A in exactly 7 days... Looks like 12"+ forum-wide as long as you're NW of the R/S line.
  15. Pixie dust continues for me. Just hit the 2" mark... up from 1.75" at 11
  16. 1.75" and lovely outside. Took the typical loop for this morning's jebwalk, but doggo decided it was too cold half way through and we had to return to shelter - Was unable to convince him that continuing would be just as fast.
  17. You, sir, get my vote for realest post of the evening, narrowly edging out Bob with the "blown load" comment a few minutes ago.
  18. It had been going down for the last several in DC, so this is nice to see
  19. I notice that showing a lot of extra precip around the fringes. Do you find that your product shows HRRR underestimating the outer-edges of precip. often, or is this unusual?
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