SnowDreamer
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Everything posted by SnowDreamer
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Para looking a lot like the old FV3 did a ways back... so weenie
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Regular GFS accumulation plots with numbers
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Convection-allowing?
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That's where you're at on my map lol
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I'm also digging the afternoon highs in the 30s later today. That'll be a nice way to lead into a storm for a change.
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You're comparing apples to oranges there. That's a 10:1, not Kuchera
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Very similar to 18Z for most. Maybe 1-2" less snow for farther N&W crew
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I told him yesterday too. Sigh
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It is tough for some, yeah. These are all Kuchera (WxBell) when available, 10:1 when not. Sleet is not included, and if it were, the NAMs would be considerably higher.
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With the exception of the PARA, every single model of the 00Z suite so far has moved closer to consensus.
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All hail king NAM, which has caved for the 4th consecutive run. Thank god
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HR 36 Looks colder at 700mb again. I like it.
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SREFs give 2.1" to DCA, joining the CMC/EURO camp. NAM twins on an island with <1".
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I know but I just got back to my computer and that was the first thing I saw. The NAM has been @WxWatcher007's right hand man this winter.
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+1 for this. DT's map still for sure higher than mine, but much more reasonable than usual.
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Man don't DO that to me!
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I gotchu
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I'm not seeing that anywhere atm, but if that's true it would be an extremely bullish forecast for them.
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Minor snow showers in D.C. on Friday help add on another inch Drier and a touch warmer is not a good combo... Small step back from 12Z
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Past tracking has shown the graphs plummet around 36 hours out (from model init) a few times this season. That would be the 00Z runs tonight. We're looking good, but by no means home free. I'm crossing all available appendages
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Both NAMs still have those 700mb winds screaming in at 90 knots, temp trend in the right direction anyway
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TREND=FRIEND
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Interesting panel on run-to-run 850s in the EPS... Significantly colder 850s at the end of the event supports some back-end snow
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complete minus EPS for 12Z SREF and NAMs really pulling down the average, would like to see them join in by 00Z tonight
