SnowDreamer
-
Posts
441 -
Joined
-
Last visited
Content Type
Profiles
Blogs
Forums
American Weather
Media Demo
Store
Gallery
Everything posted by SnowDreamer
-
The para is just an outlier, IMO. It's not like it has support from other models anymore. It was abandoned by the parent GFS and the Ukie and it's trying to hold down the weenie fort all by its lonesome. I would weight it very low right now.
-
Huge discrepancies in QPF right now on EURO vs. other models... Not too sure about it tbh. Even the typically dry 3k NAM has about .2" more for the NW crew than the EURO.
-
Yup! Just a little reference line
-
Para is king of weenie town, other models converging on 2-4" for DCA, plus an inch of sleet or so. The sleet has a nice effect of moving overall totals closer together. Models with 4" snow have less sleet, CMC has 2" of sleet on top of that snow.
- 352 replies
-
- 34
-
-
-
Short pump fringed - toss
-
Para looking a lot like the old FV3 did a ways back... so weenie
-
Regular GFS accumulation plots with numbers
-
Convection-allowing?
-
That's where you're at on my map lol
-
I'm also digging the afternoon highs in the 30s later today. That'll be a nice way to lead into a storm for a change.
-
You're comparing apples to oranges there. That's a 10:1, not Kuchera
-
-
Very similar to 18Z for most. Maybe 1-2" less snow for farther N&W crew
-
I told him yesterday too. Sigh
-
It is tough for some, yeah. These are all Kuchera (WxBell) when available, 10:1 when not. Sleet is not included, and if it were, the NAMs would be considerably higher.
-
With the exception of the PARA, every single model of the 00Z suite so far has moved closer to consensus.
-
All hail king NAM, which has caved for the 4th consecutive run. Thank god
-
HR 36 Looks colder at 700mb again. I like it.
-
SREFs give 2.1" to DCA, joining the CMC/EURO camp. NAM twins on an island with <1".
-
I know but I just got back to my computer and that was the first thing I saw. The NAM has been @WxWatcher007's right hand man this winter.
-
+1 for this. DT's map still for sure higher than mine, but much more reasonable than usual.
-
Man don't DO that to me!
-
I gotchu
-
I'm not seeing that anywhere atm, but if that's true it would be an extremely bullish forecast for them.
-
Minor snow showers in D.C. on Friday help add on another inch Drier and a touch warmer is not a good combo... Small step back from 12Z
